Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 31/08, 16:00
Prediction: Worcester City vs Bromsgrove
Team pages: Worcester City · Bromsgrove
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Worcester City1.28
Bromsgrove1.33
1X2
Worcester City
Draw
Bromsgrove
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Worcester City
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Bromsgrove
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Worcester City
2–0
Bromsgrove
(2 last)
- Bromsgrove0-1Worcester City
- Worcester City3-0Bromsgrove
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Worcester City 1507 · Bromsgrove 1558
| Worcester City | Draw | Bromsgrove | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bromsgrove (rating 1507 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Worcester City: 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Worcester City | Bromsgrove | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Worcester City 2–0–0 Bromsgrove
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Bromsgrove | 0-1 | Worcester City |
| 21/10/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Worcester City | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Bromsgrove |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Alvechurch | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Bromsgrove | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Rushall Olympic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Kettering | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Stourbridge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Halesowen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Leiston | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Racing Club Warwick | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Leighton Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Peterborough Sports | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Banbury | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Worcester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Redditch | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Needham Market | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Hitchin | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 19 | Stratford Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 20 | Leamington | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 21 | Bishop's Stortford | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Worcester City | Bromsgrove |
|---|---|---|
| Stratford Town | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| St Ives Town | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Redditch | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Bromsgrove (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Worcester City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 11/08 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Bromsgrove
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Worcester City vs Bromsgrove?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bromsgrove win (37%). Probabilities: Worcester City 35%, draw 27%, Bromsgrove 37%.
How many goals are expected in Worcester City vs Bromsgrove?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Worcester City 1.28 · Bromsgrove 1.33), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Worcester City vs Bromsgrove?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.