Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 31/08, 16:00

Prediction: Redditch vs Halesowen

Team pages: Redditch · Halesowen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Redditch1.53

Halesowen1.38

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Redditch Draw Halesowen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Redditch 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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Halesowen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Redditch 3–1–2 Halesowen (6 last)

Redditch3-1Halesowen
Halesowen2-3Redditch
Halesowen2-1Redditch
Redditch0-3Halesowen
Redditch3-2Halesowen
Redditch2-2Halesowen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Redditch 1521 · Halesowen 1510

	Redditch	Draw	Halesowen
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Redditch: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Redditch	Halesowen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/50/17%	0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 3.09 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:10 +1’	2.20	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:10 +1’	2.18	3.10	3.09

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Redditch 3–1–2 Halesowen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	3-1 HT 1-0	Halesowen
14/10/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	2-3 HT 1-0	Redditch
21/12/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	2-1 HT 1-1	Redditch
05/10/24 England FA Trophy	Redditch	0-3 HT 0-1	Halesowen
31/08/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Redditch	3-2	Halesowen
12/08/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	2-2 HT 1-2	Halesowen

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
2	Bury Town	4	4	0	0	8	1	12
3	Alvechurch	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
4	Bromsgrove	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
5	Rushall Olympic	4	3	0	1	8	6	9
6	Anstey Nomads	5	2	2	1	7	5	8
7	Kettering	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
8	Stourbridge	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
9	Halesowen	3	2	0	1	2	1	6
10	Leiston	4	1	2	1	7	6	5
11	Racing Club Warwick	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
12	Leighton Town	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
13	Peterborough Sports	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
14	Banbury	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
15	Worcester City	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
16	Redditch	4	0	3	1	3	4	3
17	Needham Market	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
18	Hitchin	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
19	Stratford Town	4	0	2	2	3	10	2
20	Leamington	4	0	1	3	3	9	1
21	Bishop's Stortford	4	0	1	3	1	7	1
22	Stamford	4	0	0	4	1	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Redditch	Halesowen
Bromsgrove	1-2 L	2-0 W
Kettering	1-1 D	0-0 D
Real Bedford	1-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Halesowen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Redditch

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	9	8	L
22/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
15/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
11/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
08/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
25/04	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	–	5-0	–	–	W
18/04	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
14/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
11/04	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-4	–	–	L
06/04	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L

Halesowen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
22/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/04	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
25/04	AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	5-0	–	–	W
18/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
11/04	Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/04	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/04	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	3-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Redditch vs Halesowen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Redditch win (40%). Probabilities: Redditch 40%, draw 26%, Halesowen 34%.

How many goals are expected in Redditch vs Halesowen?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Redditch 1.53 · Halesowen 1.38), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Redditch vs Halesowen?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.