Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 31/08, 16:00

Prediction: Kettering vs Stamford

Team pages: Kettering · Stamford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Kettering1.62

Stamford0.55

1X2

64% 23% 13%

Kettering Draw Stamford

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Kettering 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWDWDD

Stamford 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLLLLL

Head-to-head

Kettering 1–2–3 Stamford (6 last)

Stamford2-1Kettering
Kettering1-1Stamford
Stamford1-1Kettering
Kettering2-0Stamford
Kettering1-2Stamford
Stamford3-2Kettering

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kettering 1514 · Stamford 1416

	Kettering	Draw	Stamford
Our model	63%	26%	11%
Market	65%	21%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kettering (rating 1514 vs 1416).
H2H favours Stamford: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kettering	Stamford
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.8	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.20

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Pinn 1.49 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:06 +6’	1.36	4.20	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:10 +2’	1.49	3.97	5.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kettering 1–2–3 Stamford

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	2-1 HT 0-0	Kettering
23/09/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	1-1 HT 0-0	Stamford
29/03/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	1-1 HT 0-1	Kettering
24/09/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	2-0 HT 2-0	Stamford
16/04/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	1-2 HT 1-0	Stamford
05/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	3-2	Kettering

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
2	Bury Town	4	4	0	0	8	1	12
3	Alvechurch	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
4	Bromsgrove	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
5	Rushall Olympic	4	3	0	1	8	6	9
6	Anstey Nomads	5	2	2	1	7	5	8
7	Kettering	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
8	Stourbridge	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
9	Halesowen	3	2	0	1	2	1	6
10	Leiston	4	1	2	1	7	6	5
11	Racing Club Warwick	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
12	Leighton Town	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
13	Peterborough Sports	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
14	Banbury	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
15	Worcester City	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
16	Redditch	4	0	3	1	3	4	3
17	Needham Market	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
18	Hitchin	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
19	Stratford Town	4	0	2	2	3	10	2
20	Leamington	4	0	1	3	3	9	1
21	Bishop's Stortford	4	0	1	3	1	7	1
22	Stamford	4	0	0	4	1	6	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kettering	Stamford
Bury Town	1-0 W	0-1 L
Worcester City	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kettering (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kettering

WDDWLWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
11/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
08/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/04	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-3	7	6	L
25/04	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
14/04	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
11/04	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	9	1	W

Stamford

WDWWDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-3	2	3	L
22/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
25/04	Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/04	Royston Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
14/04	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	4-0	3	8	W
11/04	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
06/04	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kettering vs Stamford?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kettering win (64%). Probabilities: Kettering 64%, draw 23%, Stamford 13%.

How many goals are expected in Kettering vs Stamford?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Kettering 1.62 · Stamford 0.55), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kettering vs Stamford?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.