Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Leiston vs Redditch

Team pages: Leiston · Redditch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Leiston1.58

Redditch1.32

1X2

43% 27% 31%

Leiston Draw Redditch

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Leiston 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDDDWLD

Redditch 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWDDDL

Head-to-head

Leiston 3–3 Redditch (6 last)

Redditch4-1Leiston
Leiston2-0Redditch
Leiston1-0Redditch
Redditch1-2Leiston
Redditch5-0Leiston
Leiston0-1Redditch

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leiston 1558 · Redditch 1526

	Leiston	Draw	Redditch
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leiston	Redditch
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/17/17%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:52 +1’	2.10	3.40	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leiston 3–0–3 Redditch

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	4-1	Leiston
23/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Leiston	2-0	Redditch
01/02/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Leiston	1-0	Redditch
19/10/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	1-2	Leiston
13/04/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	5-0	Leiston
04/11/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Leiston	0-1	Redditch

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	3	3	0	0	9	3	9
2	Bury Town	3	3	0	0	5	1	9
3	Kettering	3	2	1	0	3	1	7
4	Alvechurch	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
5	Stourbridge	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
6	Bromsgrove	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
7	Rushall Olympic	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
8	Anstey Nomads	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
8	Leighton Town	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
10	Leiston	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
11	Racing Club Warwick	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
12	Banbury	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
13	Redditch	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
14	Halesowen	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
15	Needham Market	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
16	Stratford Town	3	0	2	1	2	4	2
17	Hitchin	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
17	Leamington	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
17	Worcester City	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
20	Peterborough Sports	3	0	1	2	2	5	1
21	Bishop's Stortford	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
22	Stamford	3	0	0	3	1	5	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leiston	Redditch
Real Bedford	1-0 W	1-4 L
Quorn	2-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leiston

LLWWDDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
11/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
08/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
25/04	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
18/04	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
14/04	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
11/04	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	9	5	W
06/04	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/04	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-4	–	–	L

Redditch

WLLDDWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
15/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
11/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
08/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
25/04	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	–	5-0	–	–	W
18/04	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
14/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
11/04	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-4	–	–	L
06/04	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/04	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leiston vs Redditch?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leiston win (43%). Probabilities: Leiston 43%, draw 27%, Redditch 31%.

How many goals are expected in Leiston vs Redditch?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Leiston 1.58 · Redditch 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Leiston vs Redditch?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.