Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Stratford Town vs Needham Market

Team pages: Stratford Town · Needham Market

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Stratford Town1.26

Needham Market1.47

1X2

32% 27% 41%

Stratford Town Draw Needham Market

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Stratford Town 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLDDLL

Needham Market 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLLWLL

Head-to-head

Stratford Town 3–1–2 Needham Market (6 last)

Needham Market1-0Stratford Town
Stratford Town2-2Needham Market
Needham Market1-0Stratford Town
Stratford Town6-1Needham Market
Needham Market0-1Stratford Town
Stratford Town4-2Needham Market

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stratford Town 1494 · Needham Market 1522

	Stratford Town	Draw	Needham Market
Our model	31%	28%	41%
Market	32%	26%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Stratford Town: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stratford Town	Needham Market
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	50/17/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.3	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.40

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:50 +2’	2.80	3.40	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stratford Town 3–1–2 Needham Market

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	1-0 HT 0-0	Stratford Town
04/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	2-2 HT 1-2	Needham Market
27/02/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	1-0 HT 1-0	Stratford Town
05/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	6-1	Needham Market
04/03/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	0-1 HT 0-1	Stratford Town
22/10/22 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	4-2	Needham Market

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
2	Bury Town	4	4	0	0	8	1	12
3	Alvechurch	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
4	Bromsgrove	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
5	Rushall Olympic	4	3	0	1	8	6	9
6	Anstey Nomads	4	2	2	0	6	3	8
7	Kettering	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
8	Stourbridge	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
9	Halesowen	3	2	0	1	2	1	6
10	Leiston	4	1	2	1	7	6	5
11	Racing Club Warwick	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
12	Leighton Town	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
13	Banbury	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
14	Worcester City	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
15	Redditch	4	0	3	1	3	4	3
16	Needham Market	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
17	Hitchin	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
18	Peterborough Sports	4	0	2	2	2	5	2
19	Stratford Town	4	0	2	2	3	10	2
20	Leamington	4	0	1	3	3	9	1
21	Bishop's Stortford	4	0	1	3	1	7	1
22	Stamford	4	0	0	4	1	6	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stratford Town	Needham Market
Bromsgrove	1-2 L	1-3 L
Quorn	2-2 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stratford Town (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stratford Town

WDDWWLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-6	2	5	L
15/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	5	3	L
11/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
25/04	St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/04	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/04	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/03	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
24/03	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W

Needham Market

WWWWDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-1	6	2	W
08/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-3	2	3	L
25/04	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
15/04	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
11/04	Barwell England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
06/04	AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/04	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stratford Town vs Needham Market?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Needham Market win (41%). Probabilities: Stratford Town 32%, draw 27%, Needham Market 41%.

How many goals are expected in Stratford Town vs Needham Market?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Stratford Town 1.26 · Needham Market 1.47), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stratford Town vs Needham Market?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.