Football · England Northern Premier League · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Hyde Utd vs Redcar Athletic

Team pages: Hyde Utd · Redcar Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Hyde Utd1.19

Redcar Athletic2.02

1X2

22% 23% 56%

Hyde Utd Draw Redcar Athletic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hyde Utd 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Redcar Athletic 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hyde Utd 1448 · Redcar Athletic 1558

	Hyde Utd	Draw	Redcar Athletic
Our model	21%	23%	55%
Market	22%	22%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Redcar Athletic (rating 1448 vs 1558).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hyde Utd	Redcar Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	2.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	67/0/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	1.2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.10

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:09 +7’	4.10	4.10	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	16	10	5	1	35	15	35
2	Cleethorpes Town	15	10	3	2	32	9	33
3	Guiseley	15	10	2	3	33	15	32
4	Curzon Ashton	16	10	1	5	30	18	31
5	Gainsborough	16	9	2	5	32	21	29
6	Avro FC	16	9	2	5	39	30	29
7	Workington	16	8	3	5	28	26	27
8	Warrington Rylands	15	8	2	5	27	22	26
9	Warrington Town	16	7	5	4	28	24	26
10	Bury	14	7	2	5	30	18	23
11	Alfreton Town	16	7	2	7	23	18	23
12	Lancaster City	17	6	3	8	20	29	21
13	Emley AFC	17	5	5	7	19	28	20
14	Whitby	16	6	1	9	22	42	19
15	Quorn	15	4	6	5	27	32	18
16	Stockton Town	16	4	3	9	23	28	15
17	Hyde Utd	16	4	3	9	15	30	15
18	Ashton Utd	16	3	5	8	18	21	14
19	Leek Town	16	3	5	8	31	37	14
20	Ilkeston	16	4	1	11	11	34	13
21	FC United of Manchester	16	2	6	8	20	27	12
22	Bamber Bridge	16	2	5	9	18	37	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hyde Utd	Redcar Athletic
Ilkeston	0-1 L	5-0 W
Curzon Ashton	0-2 L	1-3 L
Cleethorpes Town	0-1 L	1-1 D
Stockton Town	2-1 W	2-0 W
Leek Town	1-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Redcar Athletic (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hyde Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
17/10	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
13/10	Quorn England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-2	7	8	D
10/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
06/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
03/10	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
22/09	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-2	11	6	L
12/09	Whitby England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-3	6	1	L
31/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	4	6	D

Redcar Athletic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	2-0	2-2	5	6	D
17/10	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
13/10	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
10/10	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	5-0	–	–	W
06/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-3	1-3	2	2	L
03/10	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/09	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
12/09	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-2	3-2	2	5	W
31/08	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hyde Utd vs Redcar Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Redcar Athletic win (56%). Probabilities: Hyde Utd 22%, draw 23%, Redcar Athletic 56%.

How many goals are expected in Hyde Utd vs Redcar Athletic?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Hyde Utd 1.19 · Redcar Athletic 2.02), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hyde Utd vs Redcar Athletic?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.