Football · England Northern Premier League · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Cleethorpes Town vs Stockton Town

Team pages: Cleethorpes Town · Stockton Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Cleethorpes Town1.83

Stockton Town1.06

1X2

55% 24% 21%

Cleethorpes Town Draw Stockton Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cleethorpes Town 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWLWWL

Stockton Town 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWDLLWLW

Head-to-head

Cleethorpes Town 0–2–4 Stockton Town (6 last)

Stockton Town2-1Cleethorpes Town
Cleethorpes Town1-2Stockton Town
Cleethorpes Town0-0Stockton Town
Cleethorpes Town0-2Stockton Town
Cleethorpes Town1-2Stockton Town
Cleethorpes Town0-0Stockton Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cleethorpes Town 1544 · Stockton Town 1502

	Cleethorpes Town	Draw	Stockton Town
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	55%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cleethorpes Town (rating 1544 vs 1502).
H2H favours Stockton Town: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cleethorpes Town	Stockton Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.5	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	2.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.90

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:23 +48’	1.61	3.90	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cleethorpes Town 0–2–4 Stockton Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 England Northern Premier League	Stockton Town	2-1	Cleethorpes Town
20/09/25 England Northern Premier League	Cleethorpes Town	1-2	Stockton Town
23/03/24 England Northern League Division One	Cleethorpes Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Stockton Town
11/02/23 England Northern League Division One	Cleethorpes Town	0-2 HT 0-1	Stockton Town
26/04/22 England Northern League Division One	Cleethorpes Town	1-2 HT 1-2	Stockton Town
12/03/22 England Northern League Division One	Cleethorpes Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Stockton Town

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	18	11	5	2	41	19	38
2	Curzon Ashton	18	12	1	5	32	18	37
3	Cleethorpes Town	17	11	3	3	34	10	36
4	Guiseley	16	10	3	3	34	16	33
5	Warrington Rylands	17	9	3	5	31	24	30
6	Workington	18	9	3	6	31	27	30
7	Bury	16	9	2	5	32	18	29
8	Gainsborough	17	9	2	6	33	24	29
9	Warrington Town	17	8	5	4	31	24	29
10	Avro FC	17	9	2	6	39	33	29
11	Alfreton Town	18	7	2	9	23	25	23
12	Emley AFC	18	6	5	7	21	29	23
13	Quorn	17	5	6	6	33	35	21
14	Lancaster City	18	6	3	9	20	31	21
15	Whitby	17	6	1	10	23	44	19
16	Stockton Town	18	5	3	10	26	31	18
17	Hyde Utd	17	5	3	9	19	32	18
18	Ashton Utd	17	4	5	8	19	21	17
19	Leek Town	17	4	5	8	34	39	17
20	Ilkeston	18	4	1	13	13	38	13
21	FC United of Manchester	16	2	6	8	20	27	12
22	Bamber Bridge	18	2	5	11	18	42	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cleethorpes Town	Stockton Town
Bury	0-1 L	1-0 W
Lancaster City	2-0 W	0-1 L
Warrington Rylands	3-0 W	1-1 D
Hyde Utd	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cleethorpes Town (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cleethorpes Town

WWDDWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Bury England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
07/11	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/10	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/10	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
10/10	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-0	7	6	W
06/10	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
03/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
22/09	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
12/09	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
31/08	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-0	3-0	3	2	W

Stockton Town

DWLWDLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Quorn England Northern Premier League	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
07/11	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/10	Whitby England Northern Premier League	–	5-0	–	–	W
17/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	1-3	–	–	L
13/10	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
10/10	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
06/10	Bury England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
19/09	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	–	5-2	–	–	W
12/09	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cleethorpes Town vs Stockton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cleethorpes Town win (55%). Probabilities: Cleethorpes Town 55%, draw 24%, Stockton Town 21%.

How many goals are expected in Cleethorpes Town vs Stockton Town?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Cleethorpes Town 1.83 · Stockton Town 1.06), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cleethorpes Town vs Stockton Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.