Football · England Northern Premier League · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Warrington Rylands vs Whitby

Team pages: Warrington Rylands · Whitby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Warrington Rylands2.49

Whitby1.18

1X2

65% 19% 16%

Warrington Rylands Draw Whitby

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Warrington Rylands 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLWWWD

Whitby 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWWLLL

Head-to-head

Warrington Rylands 2–1–3 Whitby (6 last)

Whitby1-1Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands0-1Whitby
Whitby1-0Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands0-1Whitby
Warrington Rylands1-0Whitby
Whitby1-3Warrington Rylands

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Warrington Rylands 1549 · Whitby 1453

	Warrington Rylands	Draw	Whitby
Our model	65%	19%	16%
Market	65%	19%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Warrington Rylands (rating 1549 vs 1453).
H2H favours Whitby: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Warrington Rylands	Whitby
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.3	1.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.2 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	0.8 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.75

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:54 +17’	1.38	4.75	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Warrington Rylands 2–1–3 Whitby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	1-1 HT 0-1	Warrington Rylands
15/11/25 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	0-1 HT 0-1	Whitby
12/04/25 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	1-0	Warrington Rylands
17/08/24 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	0-1	Whitby
13/01/24 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	1-0 HT 1-0	Whitby
09/09/23 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	1-3	Warrington Rylands

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	18	11	5	2	41	19	38
2	Curzon Ashton	18	12	1	5	32	18	37
3	Cleethorpes Town	17	11	3	3	34	10	36
4	Guiseley	16	10	3	3	34	16	33
5	Warrington Rylands	17	9	3	5	31	24	30
6	Workington	18	9	3	6	31	27	30
7	Bury	16	9	2	5	32	18	29
8	Gainsborough	17	9	2	6	33	24	29
9	Warrington Town	17	8	5	4	31	24	29
10	Avro FC	17	9	2	6	39	33	29
11	Alfreton Town	18	7	2	9	23	25	23
12	Emley AFC	18	6	5	7	21	29	23
13	Quorn	17	5	6	6	33	35	21
14	Lancaster City	18	6	3	9	20	31	21
15	Whitby	17	6	1	10	23	44	19
16	Stockton Town	18	5	3	10	26	31	18
17	Hyde Utd	17	5	3	9	19	32	18
18	Ashton Utd	17	4	5	8	19	21	17
19	Leek Town	17	4	5	8	34	39	17
20	Ilkeston	18	4	1	13	13	38	13
21	FC United of Manchester	16	2	6	8	20	27	12
22	Bamber Bridge	18	2	5	11	18	42	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Warrington Rylands	Whitby
Gainsborough	3-1 W	2-6 L
Curzon Ashton	5-1 W	1-0 W
Emley AFC	4-1 W	1-2 L
Stockton Town	1-1 D	0-5 L
Bamber Bridge	3-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Warrington Rylands (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Warrington Rylands

WDWWDLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
07/11	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	3-1	3-1	2	6	W
31/10	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-1	8	4	W
13/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
10/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
06/10	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-3	3-3	6	2	D
03/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-1	1	2	W
29/09	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
12/09	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
31/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-0	3-1	5	7	W

Whitby

LWLLDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	1-2	–	–	L
31/10	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	0-5	–	–	L
24/10	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-2	2-4	2	2	L
17/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
06/10	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-3	2-6	3	0	L
29/09	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
12/09	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	0-1	3-1	2	1	W
31/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-4	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Warrington Rylands vs Whitby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Warrington Rylands win (65%). Probabilities: Warrington Rylands 65%, draw 19%, Whitby 16%.

How many goals are expected in Warrington Rylands vs Whitby?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Warrington Rylands 2.49 · Whitby 1.18), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Warrington Rylands vs Whitby?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.