Football · England Northern Premier League · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Redcar Athletic vs Warrington Town

Team pages: Redcar Athletic · Warrington Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Redcar Athletic2.16

Warrington Town1.23

1X2

58% 22% 21%

Redcar Athletic Draw Warrington Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Redcar Athletic 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWDLW

Warrington Town 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDDWDLWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Redcar Athletic 1548 · Warrington Town 1531

	Redcar Athletic	Draw	Warrington Town
Our model	57%	22%	20%
Market	58%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Redcar Athletic	Warrington Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	63/0/38%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.20

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:07 +4’	1.55	4.20	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	18	11	5	2	41	19	38
2	Curzon Ashton	18	12	1	5	32	18	37
3	Cleethorpes Town	17	11	3	3	34	10	36
4	Guiseley	16	10	3	3	34	16	33
5	Warrington Rylands	17	9	3	5	31	24	30
6	Workington	18	9	3	6	31	27	30
7	Bury	16	9	2	5	32	18	29
8	Gainsborough	17	9	2	6	33	24	29
9	Warrington Town	17	8	5	4	31	24	29
10	Avro FC	17	9	2	6	39	33	29
11	Alfreton Town	18	7	2	9	23	25	23
12	Emley AFC	18	6	5	7	21	29	23
13	Quorn	17	5	6	6	33	35	21
14	Lancaster City	18	6	3	9	20	31	21
15	Whitby	17	6	1	10	23	44	19
16	Stockton Town	18	5	3	10	26	31	18
17	Hyde Utd	17	5	3	9	19	32	18
18	Ashton Utd	17	4	5	8	19	21	17
19	Leek Town	17	4	5	8	34	39	17
20	Ilkeston	18	4	1	13	13	38	13
21	FC United of Manchester	16	2	6	8	20	27	12
22	Bamber Bridge	18	2	5	11	18	42	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Redcar Athletic	Warrington Town
Bamber Bridge	4-0 W	1-0 W
Ashton Utd	2-1 W	1-0 W
Avro FC	3-1 W	3-0 W
Alfreton Town	3-1 W	1-1 D
Leek Town	3-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Redcar Athletic (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Redcar Athletic

WDWLWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
07/11	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	0-2	2-4	5	5	L
31/10	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	2-0	2-2	5	6	D
17/10	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
13/10	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
10/10	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	5-0	–	–	W
06/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-3	1-3	2	2	L
03/10	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/09	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
12/09	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-2	3-2	2	5	W

Warrington Town

DWLDDWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-0	6	0	W
03/11	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
24/10	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	1-2	1-2	9	0	L
17/10	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
13/10	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
10/10	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
06/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-4	2	5	L
01/09	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
29/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Redcar Athletic vs Warrington Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Redcar Athletic win (58%). Probabilities: Redcar Athletic 58%, draw 22%, Warrington Town 21%.

How many goals are expected in Redcar Athletic vs Warrington Town?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Redcar Athletic 2.16 · Warrington Town 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Redcar Athletic vs Warrington Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.