Football · England Northern Premier League · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Warrington Rylands vs Gainsborough

Team pages: Warrington Rylands · Gainsborough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Warrington Rylands1.65

Gainsborough1.54

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Warrington Rylands Draw Gainsborough

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Warrington Rylands 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Gainsborough 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Warrington Rylands 1–3–2 Gainsborough (6 last)

Gainsborough0-0Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands4-2Gainsborough
Warrington Rylands1-1Gainsborough
Gainsborough3-1Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands1-4Gainsborough
Gainsborough1-1Warrington Rylands

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Warrington Rylands 1536 · Gainsborough 1515

	Warrington Rylands	Draw	Gainsborough
Our model	40%	26%	35%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gainsborough: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Warrington Rylands	Gainsborough
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.5	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	50/38/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	2.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:09 +7’	2.25	3.60	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Warrington Rylands 1–3–2 Gainsborough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England Northern Premier League	Gainsborough	0-0 HT 0-0	Warrington Rylands
16/08/25 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	4-2 HT 3-1	Gainsborough
01/03/25 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	1-1 HT 1-1	Gainsborough
11/02/25 England Northern Premier League	Gainsborough	3-1 HT 1-1	Warrington Rylands
24/02/24 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	1-4	Gainsborough
14/10/23 England Northern Premier League	Gainsborough	1-1 HT 1-0	Warrington Rylands

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	16	10	5	1	35	15	35
2	Cleethorpes Town	15	10	3	2	32	9	33
3	Guiseley	15	10	2	3	33	15	32
4	Curzon Ashton	16	10	1	5	30	18	31
5	Gainsborough	16	9	2	5	32	21	29
6	Avro FC	16	9	2	5	39	30	29
7	Workington	16	8	3	5	28	26	27
8	Warrington Rylands	15	8	2	5	27	22	26
9	Warrington Town	16	7	5	4	28	24	26
10	Bury	14	7	2	5	30	18	23
11	Alfreton Town	16	7	2	7	23	18	23
12	Lancaster City	17	6	3	8	20	29	21
13	Emley AFC	17	5	5	7	19	28	20
14	Whitby	16	6	1	9	22	42	19
15	Quorn	15	4	6	5	27	32	18
16	Stockton Town	16	4	3	9	23	28	15
17	Hyde Utd	16	4	3	9	15	30	15
18	Ashton Utd	16	3	5	8	18	21	14
19	Leek Town	16	3	5	8	31	37	14
20	Ilkeston	16	4	1	11	11	34	13
21	FC United of Manchester	16	2	6	8	20	27	12
22	Bamber Bridge	16	2	5	9	18	37	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Warrington Rylands	Gainsborough
Ashton Utd	2-1 W	2-1 W
Curzon Ashton	5-1 W	0-3 L
Cleethorpes Town	0-3 L	0-3 L
Emley AFC	4-1 W	2-1 W
Ilkeston	1-0 W	3-1 W
Bamber Bridge	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Warrington Rylands (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Warrington Rylands

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-1	8	4	W
13/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
10/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
06/10	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-3	3-3	6	2	D
03/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-1	1	2	W
29/09	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
12/09	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
31/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-0	3-1	5	7	W
29/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
25/08	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	2-3	–	–	L

Gainsborough

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	13	2	L
24/10	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-1	5	0	W
17/10	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
13/10	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
10/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/10	Whitby England Northern Premier League	3-0	6-2	10	0	W
12/09	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
31/08	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
28/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	2-0	2-1	0	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Warrington Rylands vs Gainsborough?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Warrington Rylands win (40%). Probabilities: Warrington Rylands 40%, draw 25%, Gainsborough 35%.

How many goals are expected in Warrington Rylands vs Gainsborough?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Warrington Rylands 1.65 · Gainsborough 1.54), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Warrington Rylands vs Gainsborough?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.