Football · England Northern Premier League · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Ashton Utd vs Warrington Rylands

Team pages: Ashton Utd · Warrington Rylands

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Ashton Utd1.4

Warrington Rylands1.67

1X2

32% 25% 43%

Ashton Utd Draw Warrington Rylands

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Ashton Utd 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDDDLL

Warrington Rylands 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWWDLW

Head-to-head

Ashton Utd 2–3–1 Warrington Rylands (6 last)

Ashton Utd2-1Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands1-1Ashton Utd
Ashton Utd1-1Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands3-4Ashton Utd
Ashton Utd0-0Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands2-0Ashton Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ashton Utd 1479 · Warrington Rylands 1507

	Ashton Utd	Draw	Warrington Rylands
Our model	31%	26%	43%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ashton Utd: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ashton Utd	Warrington Rylands
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:42 +4’	2.80	3.60	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashton Utd 2–3–1 Warrington Rylands

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 England Northern Premier League	Ashton Utd	2-1 HT 2-0	Warrington Rylands
16/09/25 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	1-1 HT 0-1	Ashton Utd
21/12/24 England Northern Premier League	Ashton Utd	1-1 HT 1-1	Warrington Rylands
13/08/24 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	3-4 HT 3-1	Ashton Utd
06/01/24 England Northern Premier League	Ashton Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	Warrington Rylands
22/08/23 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	2-0 HT 0-0	Ashton Utd

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	15	10	4	1	33	13	34
2	Cleethorpes Town	14	9	3	2	31	9	30
3	Guiseley	13	9	1	3	27	12	28
4	Gainsborough	15	9	1	5	31	20	28
5	Avro FC	14	9	1	4	37	27	28
6	Curzon Ashton	14	8	1	5	27	17	25
7	Workington	15	7	3	5	26	25	24
8	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25	21	23
8	Warrington Town	14	6	5	3	25	21	23
10	Bury	12	7	1	4	27	14	22
11	Alfreton Town	15	6	2	7	21	17	20
12	Lancaster City	16	6	2	8	20	29	20
13	Whitby	15	6	1	8	22	37	19
14	Emley AFC	15	4	5	6	16	26	17
15	Quorn	14	3	6	5	24	30	15
16	Hyde Utd	15	4	3	8	15	29	15
17	Ashton Utd	14	3	5	6	17	18	14
18	Leek Town	14	3	5	6	29	31	14
19	Stockton Town	15	3	3	9	18	28	12
20	FC United of Manchester	14	2	5	7	20	26	11
21	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17	34	10
22	Ilkeston	15	3	1	11	10	34	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ashton Utd	Warrington Rylands
Redcar Athletic	1-2 L	0-5 L
Alfreton Town	0-0 D	2-1 W
Leek Town	2-2 D	3-3 D
Cleethorpes Town	0-1 L	0-3 L
Curzon Ashton	0-2 L	5-1 W
Ilkeston	1-1 D	1-0 W
Emley AFC	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Warrington Rylands (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ashton Utd

DDLLLDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-3	2-3	3	2	L
17/10	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
13/10	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
10/10	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
06/10	Quorn England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
12/09	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
31/08	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
28/08	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-2	10	6	L
25/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D

Warrington Rylands

LLWWDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
10/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
06/10	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-3	3-3	6	2	D
03/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-1	1	2	W
29/09	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
12/09	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
31/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-0	3-1	5	7	W
29/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
25/08	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	–	0-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ashton Utd vs Warrington Rylands?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Warrington Rylands win (43%). Probabilities: Ashton Utd 32%, draw 25%, Warrington Rylands 43%.

How many goals are expected in Ashton Utd vs Warrington Rylands?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Ashton Utd 1.4 · Warrington Rylands 1.67), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ashton Utd vs Warrington Rylands?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.