Football · England Northern Premier League · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Cleethorpes Town vs Avro FC

Team pages: Cleethorpes Town · Avro FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Cleethorpes Town1.95

Avro FC1.55

1X2

46% 24% 30%

Cleethorpes Town Draw Avro FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Cleethorpes Town 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDDWWL

Avro FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLLLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cleethorpes Town 1556 · Avro FC 1531

	Cleethorpes Town	Draw	Avro FC
Our model	46%	24%	30%
Market	46%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cleethorpes Town	Avro FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.7	2.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	1.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	25/63/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +8’	1.95	3.70	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	15	10	4	1	33	13	34
2	Cleethorpes Town	14	9	3	2	31	9	30
3	Guiseley	13	9	1	3	27	12	28
4	Gainsborough	15	9	1	5	31	20	28
5	Avro FC	14	9	1	4	37	27	28
6	Curzon Ashton	14	8	1	5	27	17	25
7	Workington	15	7	3	5	26	25	24
8	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25	21	23
8	Warrington Town	14	6	5	3	25	21	23
10	Bury	12	7	1	4	27	14	22
11	Alfreton Town	15	6	2	7	21	17	20
12	Lancaster City	16	6	2	8	20	29	20
13	Whitby	15	6	1	8	22	37	19
14	Emley AFC	15	4	5	6	16	26	17
15	Quorn	14	3	6	5	24	30	15
16	Hyde Utd	15	4	3	8	15	29	15
17	Ashton Utd	14	3	5	6	17	18	14
18	Leek Town	14	3	5	6	29	31	14
19	Stockton Town	15	3	3	9	18	28	12
20	FC United of Manchester	14	2	5	7	20	26	11
21	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17	34	10
22	Ilkeston	15	3	1	11	10	34	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cleethorpes Town	Avro FC
Guiseley	1-2 L	0-1 L
Hyde Utd	1-0 W	1-0 W
Redcar Athletic	1-1 D	1-3 L
Ashton Utd	1-0 W	3-2 W
Gainsborough	3-0 W	2-0 W
Ilkeston	3-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cleethorpes Town (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cleethorpes Town

WWLWWDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
10/10	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-0	7	6	W
06/10	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
03/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
22/09	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
12/09	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
31/08	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-0	3-0	3	2	W
28/08	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
25/08	Whitby England Northern Premier League	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
22/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W

Avro FC

WDWWWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	3-0	3-2	2	2	W
17/10	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/10	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
10/10	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
07/10	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	2-2	5-3	4	1	W
12/09	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
31/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	1-1	4-3	8	2	W
29/08	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	3-1	5-3	6	2	W
26/08	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	6	0	D
22/08	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cleethorpes Town vs Avro FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cleethorpes Town win (46%). Probabilities: Cleethorpes Town 46%, draw 24%, Avro FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Cleethorpes Town vs Avro FC?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Cleethorpes Town 1.95 · Avro FC 1.55), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cleethorpes Town vs Avro FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.