Football · England Northern Premier League · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Gainsborough vs Bamber Bridge

Team pages: Gainsborough · Bamber Bridge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Gainsborough2.29

Bamber Bridge1.18

1X2

61% 21% 18%

Gainsborough Draw Bamber Bridge

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Gainsborough 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWWWWL

Bamber Bridge 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLWLLDLL

Head-to-head

Gainsborough 3–1–2 Bamber Bridge (6 last)

Gainsborough0-1Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge1-3Gainsborough
Bamber Bridge1-0Gainsborough
Gainsborough2-1Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge1-3Gainsborough
Gainsborough1-1Bamber Bridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gainsborough 1522 · Bamber Bridge 1406

	Gainsborough	Draw	Bamber Bridge
Our model	61%	21%	18%
Market	62%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gainsborough (rating 1522 vs 1406).
H2H favours Gainsborough: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gainsborough	Bamber Bridge
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	1.3 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.33

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +9’	1.45	4.33	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gainsborough 3–1–2 Bamber Bridge

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/03/26 England Northern Premier League	Gainsborough	0-1 HT 0-0	Bamber Bridge
10/02/26 England Northern Premier League	Bamber Bridge	1-3 HT 1-1	Gainsborough
29/03/25 England Northern Premier League	Bamber Bridge	1-0 HT 0-0	Gainsborough
08/03/25 England Northern Premier League	Gainsborough	2-1 HT 2-0	Bamber Bridge
30/03/24 England Northern Premier League	Bamber Bridge	1-3 HT 1-1	Gainsborough
26/08/23 England Northern Premier League	Gainsborough	1-1 HT 0-0	Bamber Bridge

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	15	10	4	1	33	13	34
2	Cleethorpes Town	14	9	3	2	31	9	30
3	Guiseley	13	9	1	3	27	12	28
4	Gainsborough	15	9	1	5	31	20	28
5	Avro FC	14	9	1	4	37	27	28
6	Curzon Ashton	14	8	1	5	27	17	25
7	Workington	15	7	3	5	26	25	24
8	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25	21	23
8	Warrington Town	14	6	5	3	25	21	23
10	Bury	12	7	1	4	27	14	22
11	Alfreton Town	15	6	2	7	21	17	20
12	Lancaster City	16	6	2	8	20	29	20
13	Whitby	15	6	1	8	22	37	19
14	Emley AFC	15	4	5	6	16	26	17
15	Quorn	14	3	6	5	24	30	15
16	Hyde Utd	15	4	3	8	15	29	15
17	Ashton Utd	14	3	5	6	17	18	14
18	Leek Town	14	3	5	6	29	31	14
19	Stockton Town	15	3	3	9	18	28	12
20	FC United of Manchester	14	2	5	7	20	26	11
21	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17	34	10
22	Ilkeston	15	3	1	11	10	34	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gainsborough	Bamber Bridge
Warrington Town	2-1 W	0-1 L
Hyde Utd	4-0 W	4-4 D
Whitby	6-2 W	0-0 D
Quorn	2-2 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gainsborough (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gainsborough

DWLLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	13	2	L
24/10	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-1	5	0	W
17/10	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
13/10	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
10/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/10	Whitby England Northern Premier League	3-0	6-2	10	0	W
12/09	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
31/08	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
28/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	2-0	2-1	0	6	W
25/08	Quorn England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-2	7	0	D

Bamber Bridge

LDDLWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-2	7	1	L
13/10	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
10/10	Whitby England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
03/10	Quorn England Northern Premier League	0-2	2-4	1	1	L
19/09	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-5	–	–	L
12/09	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
31/08	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
29/08	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	6	6	D
25/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gainsborough vs Bamber Bridge?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gainsborough win (61%). Probabilities: Gainsborough 61%, draw 21%, Bamber Bridge 18%.

How many goals are expected in Gainsborough vs Bamber Bridge?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Gainsborough 2.29 · Bamber Bridge 1.18), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gainsborough vs Bamber Bridge?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.