Football · England Northern Premier League · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Ilkeston vs Hyde Utd

Team pages: Ilkeston · Hyde Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Ilkeston1.4

Hyde Utd1.47

1X2

35% 26% 39%

Ilkeston Draw Hyde Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ilkeston 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLLW

Hyde Utd 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWLLDL

Head-to-head

Ilkeston 2–2–2 Hyde Utd (6 last)

Hyde Utd2-2Ilkeston
Ilkeston3-0Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd3-1Ilkeston
Ilkeston3-2Hyde Utd
Ilkeston1-1Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd2-0Ilkeston

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ilkeston 1391 · Hyde Utd 1439

	Ilkeston	Draw	Hyde Utd
Our model	35%	27%	38%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hyde Utd (rating 1391 vs 1439).
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ilkeston	Hyde Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.6	1.2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 3	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:42 +4’	2.50	3.60	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilkeston 2–2–2 Hyde Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/01/26 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	2-2 HT 1-2	Ilkeston
25/08/25 England Northern Premier League	Ilkeston	3-0	Hyde Utd
11/02/25 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	3-1 HT 0-1	Ilkeston
22/10/24 England Northern Premier League	Ilkeston	3-2	Hyde Utd
16/03/24 England Northern Premier League	Ilkeston	1-1	Hyde Utd
24/10/23 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	2-0	Ilkeston

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	15	10	4	1	33	13	34
2	Cleethorpes Town	14	9	3	2	31	9	30
3	Guiseley	13	9	1	3	27	12	28
4	Gainsborough	15	9	1	5	31	20	28
5	Avro FC	14	9	1	4	37	27	28
6	Curzon Ashton	14	8	1	5	27	17	25
7	Workington	15	7	3	5	26	25	24
8	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25	21	23
8	Warrington Town	14	6	5	3	25	21	23
10	Bury	12	7	1	4	27	14	22
11	Alfreton Town	15	6	2	7	21	17	20
12	Lancaster City	16	6	2	8	20	29	20
13	Whitby	15	6	1	8	22	37	19
14	Emley AFC	15	4	5	6	16	26	17
15	Quorn	14	3	6	5	24	30	15
16	Hyde Utd	15	4	3	8	15	29	15
17	Ashton Utd	14	3	5	6	17	18	14
18	Leek Town	14	3	5	6	29	31	14
19	Stockton Town	15	3	3	9	18	28	12
20	FC United of Manchester	14	2	5	7	20	26	11
21	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17	34	10
22	Ilkeston	15	3	1	11	10	34	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ilkeston	Hyde Utd
Gainsborough	1-3 L	0-4 L
Quorn	0-2 L	2-2 D
Bury	0-7 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hyde Utd (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ilkeston

DLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
13/10	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
10/10	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	–	0-5	–	–	L
06/10	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
03/10	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/09	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
12/09	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Quorn England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
29/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	0-4	0-7	0	3	L
25/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	2	4	D

Hyde Utd

LDWLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
13/10	Quorn England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-2	7	8	D
10/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
06/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
03/10	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
22/09	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-2	11	6	L
12/09	Whitby England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-3	6	1	L
31/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	4	6	D
25/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-4	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilkeston vs Hyde Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hyde Utd win (39%). Probabilities: Ilkeston 35%, draw 26%, Hyde Utd 39%.

How many goals are expected in Ilkeston vs Hyde Utd?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Ilkeston 1.4 · Hyde Utd 1.47), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ilkeston vs Hyde Utd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.