Football · England Northern Premier League · 31/10, 16:00
Prediction: Whitby vs Stockton Town
Team pages: Whitby · Stockton Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.52Total
Whitby1.6
Stockton Town1.93
1X2
Whitby
Draw
Stockton Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Whitby
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Stockton Town
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Whitby
1–2–2
Stockton Town
(5 last)
- Stockton Town0-0Whitby
- Whitby1-1Stockton Town
- Whitby0-2Stockton Town
- Stockton Town2-0Whitby
- Whitby1-0Stockton Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Whitby 1458 · Stockton Town 1429
| Whitby | Draw | Stockton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| Market | 31% | 24% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Stockton Town: 2-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Whitby | Stockton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.8 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.7 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.7 | 1.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Whitby 1–2–2 Stockton Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 England Northern Premier League | Stockton Town | 0-0 | Whitby |
| 09/09/25 England Northern Premier League | Whitby | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Stockton Town |
| 01/01/25 England Northern Premier League | Whitby | 0-2 | Stockton Town |
| 26/08/24 England Northern Premier League | Stockton Town | 2-0 | Whitby |
| 03/08/24 Club Friendly List | Whitby | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Stockton Town |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 13 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Gainsborough | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | Avro FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Curzon Ashton | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 23 |
| 10 | Bury | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 22 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 17 | 20 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 20 |
| 13 | Whitby | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 37 | 19 |
| 14 | Emley AFC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 17 |
| 15 | Quorn | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 30 | 15 |
| 16 | Hyde Utd | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 15 |
| 17 | Ashton Utd | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 31 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 12 |
| 20 | FC United of Manchester | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 11 |
| 21 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 10 |
| 22 | Ilkeston | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 34 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Whitby | Stockton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Bamber Bridge | 0-0 D | 5-2 W |
| Lancaster City | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Hyde Utd | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Whitby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/10 | Workington England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/10 | Gainsborough England Northern Premier League |
0-3 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/09 | Lancaster City England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Quorn England Northern Premier League |
– | 6-3 | – | – | W |
| 25/08 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Warrington Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
Stockton Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Emley AFC England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/10 | Lancaster City England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/10 | Bury England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/08 | Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Avro FC England Northern Premier League |
1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/08 | Guiseley England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Whitby vs Stockton Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stockton Town win (45%). Probabilities: Whitby 31%, draw 24%, Stockton Town 45%.
How many goals are expected in Whitby vs Stockton Town?
The model expects 3.52 goals (Whitby 1.6 · Stockton Town 1.93), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Whitby vs Stockton Town?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.