Football · England Northern Premier League · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Hyde Utd vs Stockton Town

Team pages: Hyde Utd · Stockton Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Hyde Utd1.55

Stockton Town1.55

1X2

37% 25% 37%

Hyde Utd Draw Stockton Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hyde Utd 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLDWLL

Stockton Town 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLLDW

Head-to-head

Hyde Utd 2–1–1 Stockton Town (4 last)

Hyde Utd3-0Stockton Town
Stockton Town2-2Hyde Utd
Stockton Town1-0Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd4-1Stockton Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hyde Utd 1474 · Stockton Town 1433

	Hyde Utd	Draw	Stockton Town
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	38%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hyde Utd (rating 1474 vs 1433).
H2H favours Hyde Utd: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hyde Utd	Stockton Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +7’	2.40	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hyde Utd 2–1–1 Stockton Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	3-0 HT 2-0	Stockton Town
16/08/25 England Northern Premier League	Stockton Town	2-2	Hyde Utd
26/04/25 England Northern Premier League	Stockton Town	1-0	Hyde Utd
24/08/24 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	4-1 HT 2-0	Stockton Town

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	10	7	2	1	25	6	23
2	Avro FC	9	7	1	1	28	16	22
3	Redcar Athletic	10	6	4	0	19	7	22
4	Guiseley	10	6	1	3	22	11	19
5	Workington	10	6	1	3	20	16	19
6	Warrington Town	9	5	2	2	18	14	17
7	Bury	9	5	1	3	19	8	16
8	Curzon Ashton	9	5	1	3	18	10	16
9	Warrington Rylands	10	5	1	4	13	13	16
10	Alfreton Town	10	5	0	5	16	10	15
11	Gainsborough	9	4	1	4	14	12	13
12	Lancaster City	10	4	1	5	11	18	13
13	Whitby	10	4	0	6	15	26	12
14	Ashton Utd	9	3	2	4	10	9	11
15	Hyde Utd	10	3	2	5	11	19	11
16	Emley AFC	10	2	4	4	9	18	10
17	Leek Town	10	2	3	5	19	20	9
18	Bamber Bridge	10	2	3	5	14	27	9
19	Stockton Town	10	2	2	6	13	20	8
20	Ilkeston	10	2	1	7	6	22	7
21	Quorn	9	1	3	5	12	23	6
22	FC United of Manchester	9	1	2	6	12	19	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hyde Utd	Stockton Town
Leek Town	1-2 L	1-1 D
Bamber Bridge	4-4 D	5-2 W
Alfreton Town	0-4 L	2-0 W
Avro FC	0-1 L	3-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stockton Town (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hyde Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/09	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-2	11	6	L
12/09	Whitby England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-3	6	1	L
31/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	4	6	D
25/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-4	6	5	L
22/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
18/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
15/08	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	–	0-3	–	–	L
08/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	0-0	–	–	D

Stockton Town

LLDLWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	–	5-2	–	–	W
12/09	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
31/08	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	1-3	3-5	2	2	L
25/08	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	8	1	L
22/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-0	9	7	W
18/08	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	–	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hyde Utd vs Stockton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hyde Utd win (37%). Probabilities: Hyde Utd 37%, draw 25%, Stockton Town 37%.

How many goals are expected in Hyde Utd vs Stockton Town?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Hyde Utd 1.55 · Stockton Town 1.55), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hyde Utd vs Stockton Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.