Football · England Northern Premier League · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Whitby vs Bamber Bridge

Team pages: Whitby · Bamber Bridge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

Whitby2

Bamber Bridge1.96

1X2

39% 24% 37%

Whitby Draw Bamber Bridge

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Whitby 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLWLL

Bamber Bridge 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLDDLWLL

Head-to-head

Whitby 2–1–3 Bamber Bridge (6 last)

Bamber Bridge1-1Whitby
Whitby0-2Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge0-2Whitby
Whitby1-2Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge3-2Whitby
Whitby2-0Bamber Bridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Whitby 1405 · Bamber Bridge 1429

	Whitby	Draw	Bamber Bridge
Our model	40%	22%	38%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bamber Bridge: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Whitby	Bamber Bridge
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 3.1	1.6 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 2	0.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 1.55 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:29 +5’	2.35	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Whitby 2–1–3 Bamber Bridge

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 England Northern Premier League	Bamber Bridge	1-1 HT 1-1	Whitby
18/10/25 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	0-2	Bamber Bridge
04/01/25 England Northern Premier League	Bamber Bridge	0-2	Whitby
10/08/24 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	1-2 HT 1-0	Bamber Bridge
20/04/24 England Northern Premier League	Bamber Bridge	3-2 HT 1-2	Whitby
18/11/23 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	2-0	Bamber Bridge

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	11	7	4	0	22	8	25
2	Cleethorpes Town	11	7	3	1	26	7	24
3	Avro FC	9	7	1	1	28	16	22
4	Workington	11	6	2	3	21	17	20
5	Guiseley	10	6	1	3	22	11	19
6	Warrington Rylands	11	6	1	4	17	14	19
7	Warrington Town	9	5	2	2	18	14	17
8	Bury	9	5	1	3	19	8	16
9	Curzon Ashton	9	5	1	3	18	10	16
10	Lancaster City	11	5	1	5	13	19	16
11	Alfreton Town	11	5	0	6	17	13	15
12	Hyde Utd	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
13	Gainsborough	9	4	1	4	14	12	13
14	Whitby	10	4	0	6	15	26	12
15	Ashton Utd	9	3	2	4	10	9	11
16	Emley AFC	11	2	4	5	10	22	10
17	Leek Town	10	2	3	5	19	20	9
18	Quorn	10	2	3	5	16	25	9
19	Bamber Bridge	11	2	3	6	16	31	9
20	Stockton Town	11	2	2	7	14	22	8
21	Ilkeston	11	2	1	8	7	24	7
22	FC United of Manchester	9	1	2	6	12	19	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Whitby	Bamber Bridge
Hyde Utd	3-1 W	4-4 D
Alfreton Town	1-4 L	1-0 W
Quorn	6-3 W	2-4 L
Ashton Utd	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Whitby

LWLLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-3	2-6	3	0	L
29/09	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
12/09	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	0-1	3-1	2	1	W
31/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-4	1	4	L
29/08	Quorn England Northern Premier League	–	6-3	–	–	W
25/08	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-3	0-6	2	2	L
22/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	–	0-5	–	–	L
18/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L

Bamber Bridge

LWDLDDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Quorn England Northern Premier League	0-2	2-4	1	1	L
19/09	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-5	–	–	L
12/09	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
31/08	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
29/08	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	6	6	D
25/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-4	–	–	L
18/08	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
11/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	–	1-6	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Whitby vs Bamber Bridge?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Whitby win (39%). Probabilities: Whitby 39%, draw 24%, Bamber Bridge 37%.

How many goals are expected in Whitby vs Bamber Bridge?

The model expects 3.96 goals (Whitby 2 · Bamber Bridge 1.96), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Whitby vs Bamber Bridge?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.