Prediction: Warrington Rylands vs Emley AFC

Team pages: Warrington Rylands · Emley AFC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Warrington Rylands1.87
Emley AFC0.9
1X2
60% 23% 17%
Warrington Rylands Draw Emley AFC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Warrington Rylands 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWLLWWDW
Emley AFC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWDDDLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Warrington Rylands 1515 · Emley AFC 1433
Warrington RylandsDrawEmley AFC
Our model59%24%17%
Market60%22%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Warrington Rylands (rating 1515 vs 1433).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Warrington RylandsEmley AFC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.30.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/29/43%29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.62.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.42.3 / 0

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cleethorpes Town 10721 25623
2 Avro FC 9711 281622
3 Redcar Athletic 10640 19722
4 Guiseley 10613 221119
5 Workington 10613 201619
6 Warrington Town 9522 181417
7 Bury 9513 19816
8 Curzon Ashton 9513 181016
9 Warrington Rylands 10514 131316
10 Alfreton Town 10505 161015
11 Gainsborough 9414 141213
12 Lancaster City 10415 111813
13 Whitby 10406 152612
14 Ashton Utd 9324 10911
15 Hyde Utd 10325 111911
16 Emley AFC 10244 91810
17 Leek Town 10235 19209
18 Bamber Bridge 10235 14279
19 Stockton Town 10226 13208
20 Ilkeston 10217 6227
21 Quorn 9135 12236
22 FC United of Manchester 9126 12195

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWarrington RylandsEmley AFC
Ilkeston 1-0 W 1-2 L
Workington 2-3 L 1-3 L
Redcar Athletic 0-5 L 0-0 D
Bury 0-1 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Warrington Rylands (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Warrington Rylands

WLLWLLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/09 Ilkeston
England Northern Premier League
0-0 1-0 102 W
12/09 Stockton Town
England Northern Premier League
1-1 1-1 43 D
31/08 Bamber Bridge
England Northern Premier League
2-0 3-1 57 W
29/08 Alfreton Town
England Northern Premier League
0-1 2-1 36 W
25/08 Workington
England Northern Premier League
– 2-3 –– L
22/08 Redcar Athletic
England Northern Premier League
0-1 0-5 11 L
18/08 Quorn
England Northern Premier League
1-0 1-0 75 W
15/08 Bury
England Northern Premier League
0-1 0-1 26 L
11/08 Lancaster City
England Northern Premier League
– 0-1 –– L
08/08 FC United of Manchester
England Northern Premier League
– 3-0 –– W

Emley AFC

DLWWDDDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/09 Workington
England Northern Premier League
1-0 1-3 64 L
12/09 Bury
England Northern Premier League
0-3 0-4 31 L
31/08 Guiseley
England Northern Premier League
0-2 0-4 45 L
29/08 Warrington Town
England Northern Premier League
1-1 2-2 103 D
25/08 Redcar Athletic
England Northern Premier League
0-0 0-0 22 D
22/08 Ashton Utd
England Northern Premier League
– 1-1 –– D
18/08 Leek Town
England Northern Premier League
1-1 2-1 20 W
14/08 Curzon Ashton
England Northern Premier League
2-0 2-1 41 W
11/08 Ilkeston
England Northern Premier League
– 1-2 –– L
08/08 Hyde Utd
England Northern Premier League
– 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Warrington Rylands vs Emley AFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Warrington Rylands win (60%). Probabilities: Warrington Rylands 60%, draw 23%, Emley AFC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Warrington Rylands vs Emley AFC?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Warrington Rylands 1.87 · Emley AFC 0.9), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Warrington Rylands vs Emley AFC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.