Football · England Northern Premier League · 18/08, 20:45
Prediction: Ashton Utd vs Whitby
Team pages: Ashton Utd · Whitby
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Ashton Utd1.67
Whitby1.11
1X2
Ashton Utd
Draw
Whitby
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ashton Utd
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Whitby
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ashton Utd
5–1
Whitby
(6 last)
- Whitby1-2Ashton Utd
- Ashton Utd1-4Whitby
- Ashton Utd5-0Whitby
- Whitby1-2Ashton Utd
- Ashton Utd4-1Whitby
- Whitby1-3Ashton Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashton Utd 1528 · Whitby 1503
| Ashton Utd | Draw | Whitby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ashton Utd: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ashton Utd | Whitby | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/75/25% | 25/38/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 0.8 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashton Utd 5–0–1 Whitby
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 England Northern Premier League | Whitby | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Ashton Utd |
| 11/10/25 England Northern Premier League | Ashton Utd | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Whitby |
| 18/01/25 England Northern Premier League | Ashton Utd | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Whitby |
| 14/09/24 England Northern Premier League | Whitby | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Ashton Utd |
| 29/03/24 England Northern Premier League | Ashton Utd | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Whitby |
| 26/08/23 England Northern Premier League | Whitby | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Ashton Utd |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Warrington Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Bury | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Gainsborough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Avro FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Alfreton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Ashton Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Whitby | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Ilkeston | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Redcar Athletic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Guiseley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Emley AFC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Hyde Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Warrington Rylands | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Curzon Ashton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | Lancaster City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Bamber Bridge | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Workington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Quorn | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashton Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/08 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Lancaster City England Northern Premier League |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Stalybridge UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Runcorn Linnets Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Euxton Villa Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Buxton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Hednesford England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Guiseley England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Workington England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Whitby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Ilkeston England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Guiseley England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Guisborough Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | Northallerton Town Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | West Auckland Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Bridlington Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | Marske United Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashton Utd vs Whitby?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ashton Utd win (50%). Probabilities: Ashton Utd 50%, draw 26%, Whitby 25%.
How many goals are expected in Ashton Utd vs Whitby?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Ashton Utd 1.67 · Whitby 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ashton Utd vs Whitby?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.