Football · England Northern Premier League · 25/08, 20:45

Prediction: Cleethorpes Town vs Whitby

Team pages: Cleethorpes Town · Whitby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Cleethorpes Town1.66

Whitby1.01

1X2

52% 25% 22%

Cleethorpes Town Draw Whitby

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cleethorpes Town 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLLDWWDWW

Whitby 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWLWLL

Head-to-head

Cleethorpes Town 0–1–1 Whitby (2 last)

Whitby0-0Cleethorpes Town
Cleethorpes Town0-3Whitby

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cleethorpes Town 1542 · Whitby 1460

	Cleethorpes Town	Draw	Whitby
Our model	52%	27%	22%
Market	53%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cleethorpes Town (rating 1542 vs 1460).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cleethorpes Town	Whitby
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	0.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	0 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/43/0%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	1.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.70

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +4’	1.70	3.70	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cleethorpes Town 0–1–1 Whitby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	0-0 HT 0-0	Cleethorpes Town
03/03/26 England Northern Premier League	Cleethorpes Town	0-3	Whitby

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	5	4	1	0	13	2	13
2	Warrington Town	5	4	1	0	13	3	13
3	Avro FC	5	4	0	1	13	6	12
4	Redcar Athletic	5	3	2	0	10	2	11
5	Ashton Utd	5	3	1	1	8	3	10
6	Guiseley	5	3	1	1	10	7	10
7	Bury	5	3	1	1	7	5	10
8	Gainsborough	5	3	0	2	10	4	9
9	Emley AFC	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
10	Hyde Utd	5	2	1	2	3	5	7
11	Alfreton Town	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
12	Warrington Rylands	5	2	0	3	4	7	6
13	Ilkeston	5	2	0	3	4	8	6
14	Whitby	5	2	0	3	4	10	6
15	Leek Town	5	1	2	2	8	7	5
16	Curzon Ashton	5	1	1	3	7	9	4
17	Stockton Town	5	1	1	3	4	7	4
18	Lancaster City	5	1	1	3	6	11	4
19	Workington	5	1	1	3	5	10	4
20	Bamber Bridge	5	1	1	3	5	14	4
21	Quorn	5	0	2	3	4	11	2
22	FC United of Manchester	5	0	1	4	2	10	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cleethorpes Town	Whitby
Ilkeston	3-0 W	2-0 W
Warrington Town	1-1 D	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cleethorpes Town (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cleethorpes Town

WDLLDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W
18/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
15/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Quorn England Northern Premier League	1-0	5-0	8	1	W
08/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
25/04	Whitby England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
18/04	Hednesford England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
11/04	Hebburn Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-4	–	–	L
06/04	Workington England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
02/04	Stocksbridge PS England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-1	2	4	W

Whitby

LLDLDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	–	0-5	–	–	L
18/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-2	10	2	L
15/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
25/04	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
18/04	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/04	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/04	Morpeth Town England Northern Premier League	–	0-3	–	–	L
03/04	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cleethorpes Town vs Whitby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cleethorpes Town win (52%). Probabilities: Cleethorpes Town 52%, draw 25%, Whitby 22%.

How many goals are expected in Cleethorpes Town vs Whitby?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Cleethorpes Town 1.66 · Whitby 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cleethorpes Town vs Whitby?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.