Football · England Northern Premier League · 25/08, 20:45

Prediction: Bamber Bridge vs FC United of Manchester

Team pages: Bamber Bridge · FC United of Manchester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Bamber Bridge1.26

FC United of Manchester1.7

1X2

28% 25% 47%

Bamber Bridge Draw FC United of Manchester

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bamber Bridge 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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FC United of Manchester 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Bamber Bridge 1–5 FC United of Manchester (6 last)

FC United of Manchester2-0Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge0-2FC United of Manchester
FC United of Manchester1-0Bamber Bridge
FC United of Manchester3-2Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge4-0FC United of Manchester
FC United of Manchester3-0Bamber Bridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bamber Bridge 1384 · FC United of Manchester 1430

	Bamber Bridge	Draw	FC United of Manchester
Our model	27%	26%	47%
Market	28%	25%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC United of Manchester (rating 1384 vs 1430).
H2H favours FC United of Manchester: 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bamber Bridge	FC United of Manchester
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.4	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/71/29%	29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.3	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.60

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +5’	3.20	3.60	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bamber Bridge 1–0–5 FC United of Manchester

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	2-0 HT 0-0	Bamber Bridge
01/11/25 England Northern Premier League	Bamber Bridge	0-2	FC United of Manchester
25/10/25 England FA Trophy	FC United of Manchester	1-0 HT 0-0	Bamber Bridge
15/02/25 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	3-2 HT 2-1	Bamber Bridge
19/10/24 England Northern Premier League	Bamber Bridge	4-0 HT 4-0	FC United of Manchester
13/04/24 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	3-0	Bamber Bridge

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	5	4	1	0	13	2	13
2	Warrington Town	5	4	1	0	13	3	13
3	Avro FC	5	4	0	1	13	6	12
4	Redcar Athletic	5	3	2	0	10	2	11
5	Ashton Utd	5	3	1	1	8	3	10
6	Guiseley	5	3	1	1	10	7	10
7	Bury	5	3	1	1	7	5	10
8	Gainsborough	5	3	0	2	10	4	9
9	Emley AFC	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
10	Hyde Utd	5	2	1	2	3	5	7
11	Alfreton Town	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
12	Warrington Rylands	5	2	0	3	4	7	6
13	Ilkeston	5	2	0	3	4	8	6
14	Whitby	5	2	0	3	4	10	6
15	Leek Town	5	1	2	2	8	7	5
16	Curzon Ashton	5	1	1	3	7	9	4
17	Stockton Town	5	1	1	3	4	7	4
18	Lancaster City	5	1	1	3	6	11	4
19	Workington	5	1	1	3	5	10	4
20	Bamber Bridge	5	1	1	3	5	14	4
21	Quorn	5	0	2	3	4	11	2
22	FC United of Manchester	5	0	1	4	2	10	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bamber Bridge	FC United of Manchester
Leek Town	1-4 L	1-1 D
Ilkeston	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC United of Manchester (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bamber Bridge

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-4	–	–	L
18/08	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-2	1	0	D
15/08	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
11/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-6	2	3	L
08/08	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
25/04	Prescot Cables England Northern Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	Hebburn Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-2	9	2	L
11/04	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L
06/04	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
03/04	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-3	6	0	L

FC United of Manchester

WLDLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Workington England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-2	6	1	L
18/08	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
15/08	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
11/08	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
08/08	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	–	0-3	–	–	L
28/04	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-3	6	2	L
25/04	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	2-3	–	–	L
21/04	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
18/04	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	13	3	L
11/04	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	–	5-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bamber Bridge vs FC United of Manchester?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC United of Manchester win (47%). Probabilities: Bamber Bridge 28%, draw 25%, FC United of Manchester 47%.

How many goals are expected in Bamber Bridge vs FC United of Manchester?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Bamber Bridge 1.26 · FC United of Manchester 1.7), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bamber Bridge vs FC United of Manchester?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.