Prediction: Leek Town vs Emley AFC

Team pages: Leek Town · Emley AFC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Leek Town1.45
Emley AFC0.9
1X2
50% 26% 24%
Leek Town Draw Emley AFC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leek Town 2-7-1 (W-D-L)
DWDDWDDLDD
Emley AFC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDLDWDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leek Town 1529 · Emley AFC 1504
Leek TownDrawEmley AFC
Our model49%29%22%
Market51%24%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Leek TownEmley AFC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.91.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/56/0%33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.31.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.5 / 01 / 0

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cleethorpes Town 3210 817
2 Warrington Town 3210 627
3 Bury 3210 427
4 Gainsborough 3201 626
5 Avro FC 3201 856
6 Alfreton Town 3201 526
6 Ashton Utd 3201 526
8 Whitby 3201 436
9 Ilkeston 3201 336
10 Redcar Athletic 3120 215
11 Guiseley 3111 544
12 Emley AFC 3111 334
13 Hyde Utd 3111 244
14 Warrington Rylands 3102 323
15 Curzon Ashton 3102 453
16 Lancaster City 3102 363
17 Bamber Bridge 3102 283
18 Leek Town 3021 342
19 Stockton Town 3012 131
20 Workington 3012 251
21 Quorn 3012 281
22 FC United of Manchester 3012 171

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leek Town

DWDDWDDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Stockton Town
England Northern Premier League
1-1 D
11/08 FC United of Manchester
England Northern Premier League
1-0 1-1 66 D
08/08 Whitby
England Northern Premier League
1-0 1-2 31 L
31/07 Runcorn Linnets
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 30 D
25/07 Stalybridge
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-1 11 D
21/07 Kidsgrove Ath
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 21 W
18/07 Stafford Rangers
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-2 D
14/07 Macclesfield
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 50 D
09/07 Abbey Hulton United
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-0 W
04/07 Winsford United
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D

Emley AFC

DWLDLDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Curzon Ashton
England Northern Premier League
2-0 2-1 41 W
11/08 Ilkeston
England Northern Premier League
0-2 1-2 112 L
08/08 Hyde Utd
England Northern Premier League
0-0 D
01/08 Pontefract Collieries
Club Friendly List
2-2 3-2 W
28/07 Ossett United
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/07 Mossley
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 20 L
21/07 Liversedge
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
18/07 Horbury Town
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-2 L
17/07 Penistone Church
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-2 W
14/07 Rotherham
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leek Town vs Emley AFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leek Town win (50%). Probabilities: Leek Town 50%, draw 26%, Emley AFC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Leek Town vs Emley AFC?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Leek Town 1.45 · Emley AFC 0.9), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Leek Town vs Emley AFC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.