Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 22/07, 15:30

Prediction: FF Jaro II vs GBK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.35Total

FF Jaro II2.31

GBK2.05

1X2

44% 21% 35%

FF Jaro II Draw GBK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

FF Jaro II 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLLLW

GBK 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

FF Jaro II 1–0 GBK (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FF Jaro II 1492 · GBK 1558

	FF Jaro II	Draw	GBK
Our model	44%	21%	35%
Market	45%	21%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 4.35 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GBK (rating 1492 vs 1558).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FF Jaro II	GBK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.8	3.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.5	3.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.33

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.85

Under 4.251.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.7

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.00▼	Bet365 2.00
X	4.20 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	2.25 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:01 +1’	2.30	4.20	2.25
06:56 +7’	1.80▼	4.50▲	2.90▲
12:03 +2’	2.00▲	4.33▼	2.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FF Jaro II 1–0–0 GBK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	0-2 HT 0-1	FF Jaro II

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	13	8	0	5	33	25	24
2	FF Jaro II	13	8	0	5	28	36	24
3	Huima/Urho	13	6	3	4	30	23	21
4	VPS-J	13	5	4	4	36	26	19
5	Narpes Kraft	13	6	1	6	41	33	19
6	TP-47	13	4	5	4	22	23	17
7	SJK Akatemia II	13	5	2	6	21	28	17
8	JBK	13	5	1	7	23	23	16
9	FC Vaajakoski	13	4	2	7	25	31	14
10	JS Hercules	13	4	2	7	22	33	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FF Jaro II	GBK
TP-47	2-0 W	4-3 W
FC Vaajakoski	2-5 L	0-1 L
SJK Akatemia II	2-3 L	4-0 W
Narpes Kraft	0-8 L	6-2 W
JS Hercules	2-1 W	7-0 W
Huima/Urho	1-7 L	2-1 W
JBK	3-0 W	2-0 W
VPS-J	2-1 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: GBK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FF Jaro II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
12/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	2-5	4	3	L
08/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	7	6	L
04/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-4	0-8	6	1	L
14/06	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
06/06	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	1-7	3	2	L
29/05	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
21/05	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
09/05	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-0	9	5	W

GBK

LLWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	6-2	4	4	W
10/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
04/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	4-3	–	–	W
27/06	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	5-0	7-0	6	2	W
14/06	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	4-3	3	1	W
06/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
29/05	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
23/05	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	7	4	W
17/05	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	2-6	–	–	L
09/05	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-2	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FF Jaro II vs GBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FF Jaro II win (44%). Probabilities: FF Jaro II 44%, draw 21%, GBK 35%.

How many goals are expected in FF Jaro II vs GBK?

The model expects 4.35 goals (FF Jaro II 2.31 · GBK 2.05), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FF Jaro II vs GBK?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.