Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 25/07, 17:30

Prediction: Narpes Kraft vs FC Vaajakoski

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.53Total

Narpes Kraft2.57

FC Vaajakoski1.96

1X2

51% 20% 29%

Narpes Kraft Draw FC Vaajakoski

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Narpes Kraft 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWLWL

FC Vaajakoski 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWLDWL

Head-to-head

Narpes Kraft 3–1–2 FC Vaajakoski (6 last)

FC Vaajakoski4-5Narpes Kraft
FC Vaajakoski1-0Narpes Kraft
Narpes Kraft0-3FC Vaajakoski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Narpes Kraft 1522 · FC Vaajakoski 1497

	Narpes Kraft	Draw	FC Vaajakoski
Our model	51%	20%	29%
Market	51%	21%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 4.53 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Narpes Kraft: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Narpes Kraft	FC Vaajakoski
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 2.4	2.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 1	0.9 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.33

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.98

Under 4.51.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 5.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:21 +10’	1.75	4.33	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Narpes Kraft 3–1–2 FC Vaajakoski

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	4-5 HT 3-2	Narpes Kraft
12/08/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	1-0 HT 0-0	Narpes Kraft
21/05/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Vaajakoski
18/09/22 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	2-4 HT 1-1	Narpes Kraft
30/04/22 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	2-1 HT 0-1	FC Vaajakoski
15/08/21 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	2-2 HT 0-1	FC Vaajakoski

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	14	8	1	5	34	26	25
2	FF Jaro II	14	8	1	5	29	37	25
3	Huima/Urho	13	6	3	4	30	23	21
4	VPS-J	13	5	4	4	36	26	19
5	Narpes Kraft	13	6	1	6	41	33	19
6	TP-47	14	4	5	5	22	24	17
7	SJK Akatemia II	13	5	2	6	21	28	17
8	JS Hercules	14	5	2	7	23	33	17
9	JBK	13	5	1	7	23	23	16
10	FC Vaajakoski	13	4	2	7	25	31	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Narpes Kraft	FC Vaajakoski
GBK	2-6 L	1-0 W
VPS-J	3-2 W	2-2 D
JBK	2-4 L	3-2 W
FF Jaro II	8-0 W	5-2 W
Huima/Urho	1-3 L	0-1 L
SJK Akatemia II	4-0 W	0-3 L
TP-47	1-2 L	3-2 W
JS Hercules	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Narpes Kraft

WWWLWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	3	4	L
12/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-2	7	4	W
07/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-4	7	5	L
04/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	4-0	8-0	3	1	W
14/06	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	8	5	L
06/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	1	4	W
31/05	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	2	0	L
23/05	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-1	9	5	W
17/05	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	6-2	–	–	W
09/05	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	5-4	2	4	W

FC Vaajakoski

LLWDWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
12/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-2	6	3	W
04/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
30/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
14/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	13	7	W
06/06	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
27/05	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-2	2	3	D
23/05	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-2	3	3	W
16/05	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-4	4	3	L
09/05	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-2	4-5	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Narpes Kraft vs FC Vaajakoski?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Narpes Kraft win (51%). Probabilities: Narpes Kraft 51%, draw 20%, FC Vaajakoski 29%.

How many goals are expected in Narpes Kraft vs FC Vaajakoski?

The model expects 4.53 goals (Narpes Kraft 2.57 · FC Vaajakoski 1.96), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Narpes Kraft vs FC Vaajakoski?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.