Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 01/08, 15:00

Prediction: Huima/Urho vs TP-47

Team pages: Huima/Urho · TP-47

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

Huima/Urho2.76

TP-471.3

1X2

67% 18% 15%

Huima/Urho Draw TP-47

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Huima/Urho 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWLDWW

TP-47 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDWDLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Huima/Urho 0–1–0 TP-47 (1 last)

TP-474-4Huima/Urho

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Huima/Urho 1553 · TP-47 1449

	Huima/Urho	Draw	TP-47
Our model	67%	18%	15%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 4.06 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huima/Urho (rating 1553 vs 1449).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Huima/Urho	TP-47
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.5	1.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.6	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.3	2.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:15 +5’	1.33	5.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Huima/Urho 0–1–0 TP-47

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	4-4 HT 2-3	Huima/Urho

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	14	8	1	5	34	26	25
2	FF Jaro II	14	8	1	5	29	37	25
3	Huima/Urho	14	7	3	4	34	23	24
4	VPS-J	14	5	4	5	36	28	19
5	Narpes Kraft	14	6	1	7	43	36	19
6	JBK	14	6	1	7	25	23	19
7	TP-47	14	4	5	5	22	24	17
8	FC Vaajakoski	14	5	2	7	28	33	17
9	JS Hercules	14	5	2	7	23	33	17
10	SJK Akatemia II	14	5	2	7	21	32	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Huima/Urho	TP-47
SJK Akatemia II	4-0 W	0-0 D
FC Vaajakoski	1-0 W	2-3 L
JS Hercules	0-0 D	0-1 L
VPS-J	1-3 L	0-3 L
JBK	3-2 W	1-1 D
Narpes Kraft	3-1 W	2-1 W
FF Jaro II	7-1 W	0-2 L
GBK	1-2 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Huima/Urho (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Huima/Urho

WDLWWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	3	2	W
17/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
11/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
05/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	8	4	L
27/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
14/06	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
06/06	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	7-1	9	2	W
29/05	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-2	11	5	L
23/05	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-2	4-4	5	4	D
16/05	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	4-2	4	3	W

TP-47

WDWDLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
18/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
12/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
04/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-4	–	–	L
27/06	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
14/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	1	7	L
06/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
31/05	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-1	2	0	W
23/05	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	4-4	8	4	D
16/05	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Huima/Urho vs TP-47?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Huima/Urho win (67%). Probabilities: Huima/Urho 67%, draw 18%, TP-47 15%.

How many goals are expected in Huima/Urho vs TP-47?

The model expects 4.06 goals (Huima/Urho 2.76 · TP-47 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Huima/Urho vs TP-47?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.