Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: JBK vs FC Vaajakoski

Team pages: JBK · FC Vaajakoski

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.93Total

JBK2.34

FC Vaajakoski1.59

1X2

54% 21% 25%

JBK Draw FC Vaajakoski

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

JBK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLWLLW

FC Vaajakoski 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLDWLW

Head-to-head

JBK 2–2–2 FC Vaajakoski (6 last)

FC Vaajakoski3-2JBK
JBK4-4FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski0-0JBK
FC Vaajakoski1-2JBK
JBK6-3FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski3-2JBK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JBK 1491 · FC Vaajakoski 1523

	JBK	Draw	FC Vaajakoski
Our model	54%	21%	25%
Market	54%	21%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JBK	FC Vaajakoski
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	2.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.5	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.20

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:15 +6’	1.67	4.20	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JBK 2–2–2 FC Vaajakoski

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	3-2 HT 1-1	JBK
03/09/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	4-4 HT 2-1	FC Vaajakoski
10/06/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	0-0 HT 0-0	JBK
01/10/22 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	1-2 HT 1-0	JBK
17/07/22 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	6-3 HT 3-1	FC Vaajakoski
21/08/21 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	3-2 HT 0-2	JBK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	14	8	1	5	34	26	25
2	FF Jaro II	14	8	1	5	29	37	25
3	Huima/Urho	14	7	3	4	34	23	24
4	VPS-J	14	5	4	5	36	28	19
5	Narpes Kraft	14	6	1	7	43	36	19
6	JBK	14	6	1	7	25	23	19
7	TP-47	14	4	5	5	22	24	17
8	FC Vaajakoski	14	5	2	7	28	33	17
9	JS Hercules	14	5	2	7	23	33	17
10	SJK Akatemia II	14	5	2	7	21	32	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JBK	FC Vaajakoski
VPS-J	2-0 W	2-2 D
JS Hercules	3-5 L	2-2 D
GBK	0-2 L	1-0 W
Narpes Kraft	4-2 W	3-2 W
Huima/Urho	2-3 L	0-1 L
SJK Akatemia II	3-0 W	0-3 L
TP-47	1-1 D	3-2 W
FF Jaro II	0-3 L	5-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vaajakoski (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

JBK

WLLDWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-0	1	9	W
18/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	3-5	5	3	L
10/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
07/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	4-2	8	5	W
27/06	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
12/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
06/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
29/05	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
23/05	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
16/05	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

FC Vaajakoski

LWDWWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	3-2	6	4	W
17/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
12/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-2	6	3	W
04/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
30/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
14/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	13	7	W
06/06	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
27/05	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-2	2	3	D
23/05	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-2	3	3	W
16/05	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-4	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JBK vs FC Vaajakoski?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JBK win (54%). Probabilities: JBK 54%, draw 21%, FC Vaajakoski 25%.

How many goals are expected in JBK vs FC Vaajakoski?

The model expects 3.93 goals (JBK 2.34 · FC Vaajakoski 1.59), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JBK vs FC Vaajakoski?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.