Prediction: JBK vs VPS-J

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.09Total
JBK2.03
VPS-J2.06
1X2
38% 22% 39%
JBK Draw VPS-J
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
JBK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLDWLWLL
VPS-J 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDWLWWLW
Head-to-head
JBK 3–3 VPS-J (6 last)
  • VPS-J2-1JBK
  • VPS-J4-1JBK
  • JBK2-1VPS-J
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JBK 1467 · VPS-J 1531
JBKDrawVPS-J
Our model39%22%39%
Market38%23%39%
Estimated total (ours) 4.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VPS-J (rating 1467 vs 1531).
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JBKVPS-J
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 2.12.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.21.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 53.9 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.43.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · JBK 303 VPS-J

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group C
VPS-J2-1
HT 1-1
JBK
08/09/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
VPS-J4-1
HT 3-0
JBK
26/07/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JBK2-1
HT 2-0
VPS-J
23/05/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
VPS-J1-0
HT 0-0
JBK
18/08/19
Finland Kakkonen Group C
VPS-J0-5
HT 0-2
JBK
03/06/19
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JBK2-1
HT 0-1
VPS-J

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 GBK 14815 342625
2 FF Jaro II 14815 293725
3 Huima/Urho 13634 302321
4 VPS-J 13544 362619
5 Narpes Kraft 13616 413319
6 TP-47 14455 222417
7 SJK Akatemia II 13526 212817
8 JS Hercules 14527 233317
9 JBK 13517 232316
10 FC Vaajakoski 13427 253114

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJBKVPS-J
JS Hercules 3-5 L 5-1 W
GBK 0-2 L 3-4 L
Narpes Kraft 4-2 W 2-3 L
Huima/Urho 2-3 L 3-1 W
SJK Akatemia II 3-0 W 6-2 W
TP-47 1-1 D 3-0 W
FF Jaro II 0-3 L 1-2 L
FC Vaajakoski 2-3 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: VPS-J (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JBK

LWLLDWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-3 3-5 53 L
10/07 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 0-2 66 L
07/07 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-0 4-2 85 W
27/06 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-2 2-3 L
12/06 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-0 3-0 55 W
06/06 TP-47
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-1 35 D
29/05 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-2 0-3 35 L
23/05 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 2-3 33 L
16/05 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 3-0 W
08/05 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-2 74 L

VPS-J

WLLDWLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
3-2 6-2 67 W
12/07 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-2 2-3 84 L
05/07 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 3-1 64 W
27/06 TP-47
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 3-0 42 W
14/06 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 3-4 41 L
05/06 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 5-1 54 W
27/05 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-0 2-2 83 D
21/05 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-2 L
18/05 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 2-3 53 L
08/05 JBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 2-1 114 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JBK vs VPS-J?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VPS-J win (39%). Probabilities: JBK 38%, draw 22%, VPS-J 39%.

How many goals are expected in JBK vs VPS-J?

The model expects 4.09 goals (JBK 2.03 · VPS-J 2.06), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JBK vs VPS-J?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.