Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 01/08, 13:00

Prediction: SJK Akatemia II vs GBK

Team pages: SJK Akatemia II · GBK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.1Total

SJK Akatemia II1.94

GBK2.16

1X2

35% 22% 43%

SJK Akatemia II Draw GBK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SJK Akatemia II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWDLL

GBK 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWWD

Head-to-head

SJK Akatemia II 2–4 GBK (6 last)

GBK4-0SJK Akatemia II
GBK3-0SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II2-3GBK
GBK2-3SJK Akatemia II
GBK1-5SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II0-2GBK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SJK Akatemia II 1469 · GBK 1575

	SJK Akatemia II	Draw	GBK
Our model	35%	22%	43%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 4.1 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GBK (rating 1469 vs 1575).
H2H favours GBK: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SJK Akatemia II	GBK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	3.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	3.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.82

Under 4.251.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:15 +4’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK Akatemia II 2–0–4 GBK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	4-0 HT 3-0	SJK Akatemia II
29/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	3-0 HT 1-0	SJK Akatemia II
12/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	2-3 HT 0-1	GBK
11/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	2-3 HT 1-2	SJK Akatemia II
07/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	1-5 HT 1-2	SJK Akatemia II
21/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	0-2 HT 0-1	GBK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	14	8	1	5	34	26	25
2	FF Jaro II	14	8	1	5	29	37	25
3	Huima/Urho	14	7	3	4	34	23	24
4	VPS-J	14	5	4	5	36	28	19
5	Narpes Kraft	14	6	1	7	43	36	19
6	JBK	14	6	1	7	25	23	19
7	TP-47	14	4	5	5	22	24	17
8	FC Vaajakoski	14	5	2	7	28	33	17
9	JS Hercules	14	5	2	7	23	33	17
10	SJK Akatemia II	14	5	2	7	21	32	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SJK Akatemia II	GBK
Huima/Urho	0-4 L	2-1 W
VPS-J	2-6 L	4-3 W
TP-47	0-0 D	4-3 W
FF Jaro II	3-2 W	1-1 D
FC Vaajakoski	3-0 W	0-1 L
JBK	0-3 L	2-0 W
Narpes Kraft	0-4 L	6-2 W
JS Hercules	3-0 W	7-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: GBK (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SJK Akatemia II

WLWLLWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	1	2	L
19/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	2-6	1	7	L
12/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
08/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	4	6	W
30/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
12/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
06/06	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	5	4	L
27/05	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
23/05	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	7	4	L
18/05	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-2	2	3	W

GBK

LWWLWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
15/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	6-2	4	4	W
10/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
04/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	4-3	–	–	W
27/06	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	5-0	7-0	6	2	W
14/06	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	4-3	3	1	W
06/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
29/05	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
23/05	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	7	4	W
17/05	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	2-6	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK Akatemia II vs GBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an GBK win (43%). Probabilities: SJK Akatemia II 35%, draw 22%, GBK 43%.

How many goals are expected in SJK Akatemia II vs GBK?

The model expects 4.1 goals (SJK Akatemia II 1.94 · GBK 2.16), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK Akatemia II vs GBK?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.