Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 01/08, 15:00

Prediction: Narpes Kraft vs JS Hercules

Team pages: Narpes Kraft · JS Hercules

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.53Total

Narpes Kraft2.87

JS Hercules1.66

1X2

62% 18% 20%

Narpes Kraft Draw JS Hercules

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Narpes Kraft 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLWLL

JS Hercules 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDDWW

Head-to-head

Narpes Kraft 4–2 JS Hercules (6 last)

JS Hercules1-2Narpes Kraft
Narpes Kraft5-0JS Hercules
JS Hercules2-0Narpes Kraft
JS Hercules2-3Narpes Kraft
Narpes Kraft2-3JS Hercules
Narpes Kraft3-1JS Hercules

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Narpes Kraft 1501 · JS Hercules 1455

	Narpes Kraft	Draw	JS Hercules
Our model	62%	18%	20%
Market	62%	18%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 4.53 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Narpes Kraft (rating 1501 vs 1455).
H2H favours Narpes Kraft: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Narpes Kraft	JS Hercules
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 2.3	1.1 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.9	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	1.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X5.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.98

Under 4.51.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:15 +5’	1.44	5.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Narpes Kraft 4–0–2 JS Hercules

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	1-2 HT 0-0	Narpes Kraft
28/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	5-0 HT 2-0	JS Hercules
14/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	2-0 HT 1-0	Narpes Kraft
18/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	2-3 HT 2-2	Narpes Kraft
03/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	2-3 HT 0-1	JS Hercules
19/06/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	3-1 HT 0-1	JS Hercules

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	14	8	1	5	34	26	25
2	FF Jaro II	14	8	1	5	29	37	25
3	Huima/Urho	14	7	3	4	34	23	24
4	VPS-J	14	5	4	5	36	28	19
5	Narpes Kraft	14	6	1	7	43	36	19
6	JBK	14	6	1	7	25	23	19
7	TP-47	14	4	5	5	22	24	17
8	FC Vaajakoski	14	5	2	7	28	33	17
9	JS Hercules	14	5	2	7	23	33	17
10	SJK Akatemia II	14	5	2	7	21	32	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Narpes Kraft	JS Hercules
FC Vaajakoski	2-3 L	2-2 D
GBK	2-6 L	0-7 L
VPS-J	3-2 W	1-5 L
JBK	2-4 L	5-3 W
FF Jaro II	8-0 W	1-2 L
Huima/Urho	1-3 L	0-0 D
SJK Akatemia II	4-0 W	0-3 L
TP-47	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Narpes Kraft

WWLWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-3	9	4	L
15/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	3	4	L
12/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-2	7	4	W
07/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-4	7	5	L
04/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	4-0	8-0	3	1	W
14/06	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	8	5	L
06/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	1	4	W
31/05	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	2	0	L
23/05	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-1	9	5	W
17/05	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	6-2	–	–	W

JS Hercules

LLLLLLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
18/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-3	4	3	W
11/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
04/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	1	2	D
27/06	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-5	0-7	4	2	L
14/06	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
05/06	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-5	1	4	L
27/05	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	8	4	L
23/05	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-2	12	5	L
16/05	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Narpes Kraft vs JS Hercules?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Narpes Kraft win (62%). Probabilities: Narpes Kraft 62%, draw 18%, JS Hercules 20%.

How many goals are expected in Narpes Kraft vs JS Hercules?

The model expects 4.53 goals (Narpes Kraft 2.87 · JS Hercules 1.66), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Narpes Kraft vs JS Hercules?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.