Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 09/11, 20:45

Prediction: Redditch vs Peterborough Sports

Team pages: Redditch · Peterborough Sports

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Redditch1.81

Peterborough Sports1.87

1X2

37% 24% 39%

Redditch Draw Peterborough Sports

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Redditch 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWDWDL

Peterborough Sports 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWDLWD

Head-to-head

Redditch 1–3–2 Peterborough Sports (6 last)

Peterborough Sports2-2Redditch
Redditch1-3Peterborough Sports
Peterborough Sports0-0Redditch
Peterborough Sports1-0Redditch
Redditch2-2Peterborough Sports
Peterborough Sports0-1Redditch

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Redditch 1514 · Peterborough Sports 1535

	Redditch	Draw	Peterborough Sports
Our model	37%	23%	39%
Market	37%	24%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Peterborough Sports: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Redditch	Peterborough Sports
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.8	2.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.5	2.4 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.4	2.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.70

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:49 +6’	2.45	3.70	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Redditch 1–3–2 Peterborough Sports

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Peterborough Sports	2-2 HT 0-1	Redditch
18/09/23 England FA Cup Qualification	Redditch	1-3 HT 1-1	Peterborough Sports
16/09/23 England FA Cup Qualification	Peterborough Sports	0-0	Redditch
20/09/22 England FA Cup Qualification	Peterborough Sports	1-0 HT 1-0	Redditch
17/09/22 England FA Cup Qualification	Redditch	2-2 HT 0-2	Peterborough Sports
04/12/21 England Southern Premier League Central	Peterborough Sports	0-1	Redditch

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	Bury Town	17	11	2	4	31	26	35
3	Bromsgrove	15	10	4	1	31	16	34
4	Kettering	16	9	4	3	31	18	31
5	Needham Market	16	8	4	4	36	24	28
6	Peterborough Sports	16	7	6	3	32	26	27
7	Rushall Olympic	17	9	0	8	32	28	27
8	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
9	Anstey Nomads	15	7	5	3	32	24	26
10	Halesowen	14	7	2	5	23	23	23
11	Stourbridge	15	6	4	5	20	21	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	16	5	5	6	23	22	20
13	Stratford Town	16	4	7	5	22	27	19
14	Redditch	14	4	6	4	23	22	18
15	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
16	Leiston	14	4	3	7	25	29	15
17	Banbury	16	3	5	8	18	29	14
18	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
19	Leamington	16	3	4	9	22	30	13
20	Bishop's Stortford	16	4	1	11	18	29	13
21	Leighton Town	15	1	3	11	16	35	6
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Redditch	Peterborough Sports
Leamington	2-2 D	4-2 W
Leiston	1-3 L	2-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Redditch

LWLWDWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
31/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-3	–	–	D
27/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
13/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-2	8	6	D
10/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	1	5	D
21/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
12/09	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
31/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-1	2	11	W
29/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	9	8	L

Peterborough Sports

WWDWWWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
27/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-5	–	–	L
17/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	4-2	2	6	W
10/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
03/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	4-2	5	4	W
29/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
22/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
12/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Redditch vs Peterborough Sports?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Peterborough Sports win (39%). Probabilities: Redditch 37%, draw 24%, Peterborough Sports 39%.

How many goals are expected in Redditch vs Peterborough Sports?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Redditch 1.81 · Peterborough Sports 1.87), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Redditch vs Peterborough Sports?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.