Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Bury Town vs Rushall Olympic

Team pages: Bury Town · Rushall Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Bury Town1.81

Rushall Olympic1.63

1X2

42% 24% 34%

Bury Town Draw Rushall Olympic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Bury Town 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLDLWD

Rushall Olympic 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLLLD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bury Town 1499 · Rushall Olympic 1478

	Bury Town	Draw	Rushall Olympic
Our model	41%	24%	34%
Market	42%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bury Town	Rushall Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.3	1.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/67/17%	75/13/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.80

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:50 +18’	2.15	3.80	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	18	13	2	3	47	23	41
2	Bromsgrove	16	11	4	1	34	18	37
3	Bury Town	18	11	3	4	32	27	36
4	Kettering	17	9	4	4	31	19	31
5	Peterborough Sports	17	8	6	3	33	26	30
6	Alvechurch	15	8	5	2	29	14	29
7	Anstey Nomads	16	8	5	3	33	24	29
8	Needham Market	16	8	4	4	36	24	28
9	Rushall Olympic	18	9	1	8	33	29	28
10	Halesowen	15	7	3	5	24	24	24
11	Stourbridge	16	6	4	6	21	23	22
12	Stratford Town	17	5	7	5	24	28	22
13	Racing Club Warwick	17	5	5	7	24	24	20
14	Redditch	15	4	6	5	23	23	18
15	Worcester City	14	4	4	6	17	18	16
16	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
17	Leiston	15	4	3	8	26	33	15
18	Bishop's Stortford	17	4	2	11	19	30	14
19	Banbury	17	3	5	9	19	31	14
20	Leamington	17	3	4	10	24	33	13
21	Leighton Town	15	1	3	11	16	35	6
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bury Town	Rushall Olympic
Racing Club Warwick	3-1 W	0-1 L
Kettering	2-3 L	2-3 L
Real Bedford	2-2 D	0-3 L
Needham Market	0-5 L	5-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bury Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bury Town

WWLWDLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
07/11	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-1	1	6	W
03/11	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	2-2	2-3	7	6	L
31/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-5	–	–	L
20/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
17/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
13/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	0-5	3	2	L
10/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	4	3	W

Rushall Olympic

LWWLWWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
07/11	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/10	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-3	5	6	L
20/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-1	9	6	W
17/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	3-0	3-0	7	3	W
13/10	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-3	4	3	L
10/10	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	3-1	5-3	6	5	W
29/09	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bury Town vs Rushall Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bury Town win (42%). Probabilities: Bury Town 42%, draw 24%, Rushall Olympic 34%.

How many goals are expected in Bury Town vs Rushall Olympic?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Bury Town 1.81 · Rushall Olympic 1.63), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bury Town vs Rushall Olympic?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.