Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 17/11, 20:45

Prediction: Worcester City vs Kettering

Team pages: Worcester City · Kettering

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Worcester City1.5

Kettering1.48

1X2

38% 26% 37%

Worcester City Draw Kettering

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Worcester City 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDDLLWWW

Kettering 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Worcester City 1–1–1 Kettering (3 last)

Kettering1-3Worcester City
Kettering2-1Worcester City
Worcester City1-1Kettering

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Worcester City 1508 · Kettering 1540

	Worcester City	Draw	Kettering
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Worcester City	Kettering
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	2.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/13/50%	44/11/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +8’	2.70	3.60	2.15
15:13 +41’	2.38▼	3.60	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Worcester City 1–1–1 Kettering

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/10/26 England FA Cup Qualification	Kettering	1-3 HT 0-2	Worcester City
11/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	2-1 HT 1-1	Worcester City
06/09/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Worcester City	1-1	Kettering

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	18	13	2	3	47	23	41
2	Bromsgrove	16	11	4	1	34	18	37
3	Bury Town	19	11	4	4	33	28	37
4	Needham Market	17	9	4	4	38	24	31
5	Kettering	17	9	4	4	31	19	31
6	Peterborough Sports	17	8	6	3	33	26	30
7	Alvechurch	15	8	5	2	29	14	29
8	Anstey Nomads	16	8	5	3	33	24	29
9	Rushall Olympic	19	9	2	8	34	30	29
10	Halesowen	15	7	3	5	24	24	24
11	Stratford Town	18	5	8	5	26	30	23
12	Stourbridge	16	6	4	6	21	23	22
13	Racing Club Warwick	17	5	5	7	24	24	20
14	Redditch	15	4	6	5	23	23	18
15	Worcester City	14	4	4	6	17	18	16
16	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
17	Leiston	16	4	4	8	28	35	16
18	Leamington	18	3	5	10	26	35	14
19	Bishop's Stortford	17	4	2	11	19	30	14
20	Banbury	18	3	5	10	19	33	14
21	Leighton Town	16	1	4	11	18	37	7
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Worcester City	Kettering
Stourbridge	1-3 L	1-4 L
Rushall Olympic	0-1 L	3-2 W
Bromsgrove	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Worcester City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
31/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-1	–	–	W
27/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
13/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
10/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
29/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
22/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
12/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
31/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D

Kettering

LWDLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
07/11	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
03/11	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-2	3-2	4	6	W
31/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-4	5	9	L
27/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	3-2	2	6	W
20/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
13/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
10/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
22/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-3	11	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Worcester City vs Kettering?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Worcester City win (38%). Probabilities: Worcester City 38%, draw 26%, Kettering 37%.

How many goals are expected in Worcester City vs Kettering?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Worcester City 1.5 · Kettering 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Worcester City vs Kettering?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.