Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 17/11, 20:45

Prediction: Leamington vs Halesowen

Team pages: Leamington · Halesowen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

Leamington1.74

Halesowen2.06

1X2

32% 23% 45%

Leamington Draw Halesowen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Leamington 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLLWLD

Halesowen 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWLWWLD

Head-to-head

Leamington 2–1–2 Halesowen (5 last)

Halesowen3-2Leamington
Leamington0-1Halesowen
Leamington1-0Halesowen
Halesowen0-0Leamington
Halesowen0-1Leamington

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leamington 1440 · Halesowen 1552

	Leamington	Draw	Halesowen
Our model	32%	23%	45%
Market	32%	23%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Halesowen (rating 1440 vs 1552).
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leamington	Halesowen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.1	2.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.1	0.6 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/0/43%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.80

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.80▲	Bet365 2.80
X	3.75 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	2.25 → 2.00▼	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +9’	2.45	3.75	2.25
14:39 +1’	2.80▲	3.80▲	2.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leamington 2–1–2 Halesowen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/10/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	3-2 HT 1-2	Leamington
03/08/24 Club Friendly List	Leamington	0-1 HT 0-1	Halesowen
30/03/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Leamington	1-0 HT 0-0	Halesowen
15/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	0-0 HT 0-0	Leamington
23/07/22 Club Friendly List	Halesowen	0-1 HT 0-0	Leamington

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	18	13	2	3	47	23	41
2	Bromsgrove	16	11	4	1	34	18	37
3	Bury Town	19	11	4	4	33	28	37
4	Needham Market	17	9	4	4	38	24	31
5	Kettering	17	9	4	4	31	19	31
6	Peterborough Sports	17	8	6	3	33	26	30
7	Alvechurch	15	8	5	2	29	14	29
8	Anstey Nomads	16	8	5	3	33	24	29
9	Rushall Olympic	19	9	2	8	34	30	29
10	Halesowen	15	7	3	5	24	24	24
11	Stratford Town	18	5	8	5	26	30	23
12	Stourbridge	16	6	4	6	21	23	22
13	Racing Club Warwick	17	5	5	7	24	24	20
14	Redditch	15	4	6	5	23	23	18
15	Worcester City	14	4	4	6	17	18	16
16	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
17	Leiston	16	4	4	8	28	35	16
18	Leamington	18	3	5	10	26	35	14
19	Bishop's Stortford	17	4	2	11	19	30	14
20	Banbury	18	3	5	10	19	33	14
21	Leighton Town	16	1	4	11	18	37	7
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leamington	Halesowen
Rushall Olympic	1-3 L	1-1 D
Hitchin	4-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leamington

WLDLLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-2	1	2	D
10/11	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-3	3	3	L
07/11	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
31/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
27/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
20/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-3	11	6	L
17/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
13/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	2-2	10	6	D
10/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	4-0	3	0	W

Halesowen

WWDDWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
07/11	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	0-5	3-5	6	4	L
31/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	4-0	5	0	W
27/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	3-2	3	4	W
20/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	0-5	1-5	6	4	L
17/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
13/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
10/10	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
12/09	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leamington vs Halesowen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Halesowen win (45%). Probabilities: Leamington 32%, draw 23%, Halesowen 45%.

How many goals are expected in Leamington vs Halesowen?

The model expects 3.8 goals (Leamington 1.74 · Halesowen 2.06), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Leamington vs Halesowen?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.