Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Anstey Nomads vs Kettering

Team pages: Anstey Nomads · Kettering

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

Anstey Nomads2.08

Kettering1.81

1X2

44% 23% 33%

Anstey Nomads Draw Kettering

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Anstey Nomads 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Kettering 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Anstey Nomads 0–1 Kettering (1 last)

Kettering4-1Anstey Nomads

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anstey Nomads 1525 · Kettering 1545

	Anstey Nomads	Draw	Kettering
Our model	44%	22%	34%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Anstey Nomads	Kettering
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.9	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	50/13/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:50 +7’	2.05	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anstey Nomads 0–0–1 Kettering

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	4-1 HT 4-1	Anstey Nomads

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	Bury Town	17	11	2	4	31	26	35
3	Bromsgrove	15	10	4	1	31	16	34
4	Kettering	16	9	4	3	31	18	31
5	Needham Market	16	8	4	4	36	24	28
6	Peterborough Sports	16	7	6	3	32	26	27
7	Rushall Olympic	17	9	0	8	32	28	27
8	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
9	Anstey Nomads	15	7	5	3	32	24	26
10	Halesowen	14	7	2	5	23	23	23
11	Stourbridge	15	6	4	5	20	21	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	16	5	5	6	23	22	20
13	Stratford Town	16	4	7	5	22	27	19
14	Redditch	14	4	6	4	23	22	18
15	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
16	Leiston	14	4	3	7	25	29	15
17	Banbury	16	3	5	8	18	29	14
18	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
19	Leamington	16	3	4	9	22	30	13
20	Bishop's Stortford	16	4	1	11	18	29	13
21	Leighton Town	15	1	3	11	16	35	6
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Anstey Nomads	Kettering
Halesowen	5-3 W	1-1 D
Rushall Olympic	3-2 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Anstey Nomads (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anstey Nomads

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	5-0	5-3	2	4	W
03/11	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
31/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-1	–	–	W
27/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-2	5	9	D
13/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	3-2	8	3	W
10/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
29/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	1-4	1-4	1	3	L
22/09	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
12/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-2	0	7	W
31/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W

Kettering

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
03/11	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-2	3-2	4	6	W
31/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-4	5	9	L
27/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	3-2	2	6	W
20/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
13/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
10/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
22/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-3	11	3	L
12/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anstey Nomads vs Kettering?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Anstey Nomads win (44%). Probabilities: Anstey Nomads 44%, draw 23%, Kettering 33%.

How many goals are expected in Anstey Nomads vs Kettering?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Anstey Nomads 2.08 · Kettering 1.81), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Anstey Nomads vs Kettering?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.