Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Leamington vs Bromsgrove

Team pages: Leamington · Bromsgrove

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Leamington1.24

Bromsgrove1.89

1X2

24% 24% 52%

Leamington Draw Bromsgrove

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Leamington 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLLLLW

Bromsgrove 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWDDWW

Head-to-head

Leamington 2–1–0 Bromsgrove (3 last)

Bromsgrove1-1Leamington
Bromsgrove0-3Leamington
Leamington2-0Bromsgrove

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leamington 1448 · Bromsgrove 1578

	Leamington	Draw	Bromsgrove
Our model	24%	24%	52%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bromsgrove (rating 1448 vs 1578).
H2H favours Leamington: 2-1-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leamington	Bromsgrove
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.3	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/17/50%	17/67/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.3	1.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.90

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:52 +5’	3.60	3.90	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leamington 2–1–0 Bromsgrove

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-1 HT 1-1	Leamington
03/02/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	0-3	Leamington
23/09/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Leamington	2-0	Bromsgrove

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	Bury Town	17	11	2	4	31	26	35
3	Bromsgrove	15	10	4	1	31	16	34
4	Kettering	16	9	4	3	31	18	31
5	Needham Market	16	8	4	4	36	24	28
6	Peterborough Sports	16	7	6	3	32	26	27
7	Rushall Olympic	17	9	0	8	32	28	27
8	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
9	Anstey Nomads	15	7	5	3	32	24	26
10	Halesowen	14	7	2	5	23	23	23
11	Stourbridge	15	6	4	5	20	21	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	16	5	5	6	23	22	20
13	Stratford Town	16	4	7	5	22	27	19
14	Redditch	14	4	6	4	23	22	18
15	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
16	Leiston	14	4	3	7	25	29	15
17	Banbury	16	3	5	8	18	29	14
18	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
19	Leamington	16	3	4	9	22	30	13
20	Bishop's Stortford	16	4	1	11	18	29	13
21	Leighton Town	15	1	3	11	16	35	6
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leamington	Bromsgrove
Banbury	1-0 W	1-1 D
Stratford Town	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leamington

LDWLDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
31/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
27/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
20/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-3	11	6	L
17/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
13/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	2-2	10	6	D
10/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	4-0	3	0	W
29/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
12/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L

Bromsgrove

WWWDDWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	5-1	–	–	W
27/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
13/10	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-1	11	4	W
10/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-2	3	3	W
12/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
31/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leamington vs Bromsgrove?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bromsgrove win (52%). Probabilities: Leamington 24%, draw 24%, Bromsgrove 52%.

How many goals are expected in Leamington vs Bromsgrove?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Leamington 1.24 · Bromsgrove 1.89), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Leamington vs Bromsgrove?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.