Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Stratford Town vs Banbury

Team pages: Stratford Town · Banbury

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Stratford Town1.58

Banbury1.29

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Stratford Town Draw Banbury

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Stratford Town 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWDDDDWW

Banbury 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLDWLDL

Head-to-head

Stratford Town 1–3–2 Banbury (6 last)

Banbury2-3Stratford Town
Banbury0-0Stratford Town
Stratford Town0-3Banbury
Banbury0-0Stratford Town
Stratford Town1-1Banbury
Stratford Town0-1Banbury

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stratford Town 1521 · Banbury 1444

	Stratford Town	Draw	Banbury
Our model	43%	27%	30%
Market	44%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stratford Town (rating 1521 vs 1444).
H2H favours Banbury: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stratford Town	Banbury
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:52 +4’	2.05	3.50	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stratford Town 1–3–2 Banbury

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	2-3 HT 1-1	Stratford Town
24/02/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	0-0 HT 0-0	Stratford Town
09/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	0-3	Banbury
29/03/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	0-0	Stratford Town
24/09/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	1-1 HT 0-0	Banbury
20/09/22 England FA Cup Qualification	Stratford Town	0-1 HT 0-1	Banbury

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	Bury Town	17	11	2	4	31	26	35
3	Bromsgrove	15	10	4	1	31	16	34
4	Kettering	16	9	4	3	31	18	31
5	Needham Market	16	8	4	4	36	24	28
6	Peterborough Sports	16	7	6	3	32	26	27
7	Rushall Olympic	17	9	0	8	32	28	27
8	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
9	Anstey Nomads	15	7	5	3	32	24	26
10	Halesowen	14	7	2	5	23	23	23
11	Stourbridge	15	6	4	5	20	21	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	16	5	5	6	23	22	20
13	Stratford Town	16	4	7	5	22	27	19
14	Redditch	14	4	6	4	23	22	18
15	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
16	Leiston	14	4	3	7	25	29	15
17	Banbury	16	3	5	8	18	29	14
18	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
19	Leamington	16	3	4	9	22	30	13
20	Bishop's Stortford	16	4	1	11	18	29	13
21	Leighton Town	15	1	3	11	16	35	6
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stratford Town	Banbury
Bromsgrove	2-2 D	1-1 D
Peterborough Sports	1-1 D	2-4 L
Stamford	0-0 D	3-2 W
Leamington	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stratford Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stratford Town

LLWWDDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
31/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
27/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	2-2	4-4	4	3	D
17/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
22/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	2-3	4	3	L
12/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L

Banbury

LDLWLDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
27/10	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-3	8	1	L
20/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
17/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-4	6	6	L
10/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-3	0	2	L
22/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stratford Town vs Banbury?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stratford Town win (43%). Probabilities: Stratford Town 43%, draw 26%, Banbury 31%.

How many goals are expected in Stratford Town vs Banbury?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Stratford Town 1.58 · Banbury 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stratford Town vs Banbury?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.