Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Worcester City vs Racing Club Warwick

Team pages: Worcester City · Racing Club Warwick

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Worcester City1.46

Racing Club Warwick1.18

1X2

43% 26% 30%

Worcester City Draw Racing Club Warwick

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Worcester City 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Racing Club Warwick 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Worcester City 0–1–0 Racing Club Warwick (1 last)

Racing Club Warwick2-2Worcester City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Worcester City 1497 · Racing Club Warwick 1483

	Worcester City	Draw	Racing Club Warwick
Our model	42%	28%	29%
Market	44%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Worcester City	Racing Club Warwick
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/14/57%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	1.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:00 +3’	2.05	3.60	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Worcester City 0–1–0 Racing Club Warwick

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Racing Club Warwick	2-2 HT 0-1	Worcester City

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	Bury Town	17	11	2	4	31	26	35
3	Bromsgrove	15	10	4	1	31	16	34
4	Kettering	16	9	4	3	31	18	31
5	Needham Market	16	8	4	4	36	24	28
6	Peterborough Sports	16	7	6	3	32	26	27
7	Rushall Olympic	17	9	0	8	32	28	27
8	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
9	Anstey Nomads	15	7	5	3	32	24	26
10	Halesowen	14	7	2	5	23	23	23
11	Stourbridge	15	6	4	5	20	21	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	16	5	5	6	23	22	20
13	Stratford Town	16	4	7	5	22	27	19
14	Redditch	14	4	6	4	23	22	18
15	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
16	Leiston	14	4	3	7	25	29	15
17	Banbury	16	3	5	8	18	29	14
18	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
19	Leamington	16	3	4	9	22	30	13
20	Bishop's Stortford	16	4	1	11	18	29	13
21	Leighton Town	15	1	3	11	16	35	6
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Worcester City	Racing Club Warwick
Stourbridge	1-3 L	1-0 W
Rushall Olympic	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Club Warwick (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Worcester City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-1	–	–	W
27/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
13/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
10/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
29/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
22/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
12/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
31/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W

Racing Club Warwick

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
31/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
20/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	5-0	5-1	4	4	W
17/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
10/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
03/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
29/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
21/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
12/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-3	2	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Worcester City vs Racing Club Warwick?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Worcester City win (43%). Probabilities: Worcester City 43%, draw 26%, Racing Club Warwick 30%.

How many goals are expected in Worcester City vs Racing Club Warwick?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Worcester City 1.46 · Racing Club Warwick 1.18), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Worcester City vs Racing Club Warwick?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.