Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Leamington vs Peterborough Sports

Team pages: Leamington · Peterborough Sports

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Leamington1.77

Peterborough Sports2.07

1X2

32% 23% 44%

Leamington Draw Peterborough Sports

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Leamington 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLDWLDLLL

Peterborough Sports 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWWWDL

Head-to-head

Leamington 2–1–3 Peterborough Sports (6 last)

Leamington4-2Peterborough Sports
Peterborough Sports0-0Leamington
Peterborough Sports2-0Leamington
Leamington2-1Peterborough Sports
Peterborough Sports3-0Leamington
Leamington0-2Peterborough Sports

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leamington 1458 · Peterborough Sports 1514

	Leamington	Draw	Peterborough Sports
Our model	33%	23%	45%
Market	32%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peterborough Sports (rating 1458 vs 1514).
H2H favours Peterborough Sports: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leamington	Peterborough Sports
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	2.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/14/43%	71/14/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.7	1.9 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.75

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:39 +7’	2.80	3.75	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leamington 2–1–3 Peterborough Sports

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England National League North	Leamington	4-2 HT 2-1	Peterborough Sports
19/08/25 England National League North	Peterborough Sports	0-0 HT 0-0	Leamington
05/04/25 England National League North	Peterborough Sports	2-0 HT 0-0	Leamington
02/11/24 England National League North	Leamington	2-1 HT 2-0	Peterborough Sports
18/03/23 England National League North	Peterborough Sports	3-0 HT 1-0	Leamington
26/11/22 England National League North	Leamington	0-2 HT 0-1	Peterborough Sports

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	14	10	2	2	37	17	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	13	8	4	1	23	13	28
4	Rushall Olympic	15	9	0	6	32	24	27
5	Kettering	13	7	4	2	25	11	25
6	Needham Market	14	7	3	4	29	20	24
7	Alvechurch	13	6	5	2	24	12	23
8	Peterborough Sports	14	6	5	3	27	23	23
9	Anstey Nomads	12	5	5	2	22	18	20
10	Halesowen	12	6	2	4	16	18	20
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15	16	19
12	Racing Club Warwick	14	4	5	5	21	19	17
13	Redditch	12	4	5	3	19	17	17
14	Leiston	12	4	3	5	22	23	15
15	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
16	Bishop's Stortford	14	4	1	9	17	24	13
17	Stratford Town	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
18	Banbury	14	3	4	7	16	26	13
19	Worcester City	12	2	4	6	11	16	10
20	Leamington	14	2	4	8	19	26	10
21	Leighton Town	13	1	3	9	14	27	6
22	Stamford	14	1	1	12	4	35	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leamington	Peterborough Sports
Rushall Olympic	1-3 L	4-2 W
Needham Market	1-2 L	3-3 D
Redditch	2-2 D	2-2 D
Stratford Town	1-2 L	1-1 D
Hitchin	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Peterborough Sports (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leamington

DWLDWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
20/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-3	11	6	L
17/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
13/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	2-2	10	6	D
10/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	4-0	3	0	W
29/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
12/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
01/09	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
29/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D

Peterborough Sports

WDWWDWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-5	–	–	L
17/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	4-2	2	6	W
10/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
03/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	4-2	5	4	W
29/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
22/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
12/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
31/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-3	3	2	D
28/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-1	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leamington vs Peterborough Sports?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Peterborough Sports win (44%). Probabilities: Leamington 32%, draw 23%, Peterborough Sports 44%.

How many goals are expected in Leamington vs Peterborough Sports?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Leamington 1.77 · Peterborough Sports 2.07), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Leamington vs Peterborough Sports?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.