Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Kettering vs Redditch

Team pages: Kettering · Redditch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Kettering2.31

Redditch1.25

1X2

60% 21% 19%

Kettering Draw Redditch

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Kettering 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWWLW

Redditch 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDWDWD

Head-to-head

Kettering 1–1–4 Redditch (6 last)

Kettering1-1Redditch
Redditch4-0Kettering
Redditch3-2Kettering
Kettering3-1Redditch
Kettering1-2Redditch
Redditch2-0Kettering

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kettering 1555 · Redditch 1537

	Kettering	Draw	Redditch
Our model	60%	21%	19%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Redditch: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kettering	Redditch
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.5	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/13/38%	50/38/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	1.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:15 +24’	1.48	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kettering 1–1–4 Redditch

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	1-1 HT 0-0	Redditch
18/10/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	4-0	Kettering
18/01/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	3-2	Kettering
09/11/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	3-1 HT 1-1	Redditch
23/12/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	1-2	Redditch
26/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	2-0 HT 0-0	Kettering

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	16	11	2	3	40	22	35
2	Bury Town	16	10	2	4	28	25	32
3	Bromsgrove	14	9	4	1	28	14	31
4	Kettering	15	8	4	3	29	17	28
5	Rushall Olympic	16	9	0	7	32	25	27
6	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
7	Peterborough Sports	15	7	5	3	31	25	26
8	Needham Market	15	7	4	4	32	23	25
9	Anstey Nomads	14	6	5	3	27	21	23
10	Halesowen	13	7	2	4	20	18	23
11	Stourbridge	14	6	4	4	19	17	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	15	5	5	5	22	19	20
13	Redditch	13	4	6	3	22	20	18
14	Stratford Town	15	3	7	5	21	27	16
15	Leiston	13	4	3	6	23	26	15
16	Banbury	15	3	5	7	18	28	14
17	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
18	Hitchin	15	3	4	8	17	23	13
19	Bishop's Stortford	15	4	1	10	18	28	13
20	Leamington	15	2	4	9	21	30	10
21	Leighton Town	14	1	3	10	15	32	6
22	Stamford	15	1	1	13	4	39	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kettering	Redditch
Leiston	4-0 W	1-3 L
Bromsgrove	1-2 L	1-2 L
Halesowen	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kettering

WWLWDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-2	3-2	4	6	W
31/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-4	5	9	L
27/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	3-2	2	6	W
20/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
13/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
10/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
22/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-3	11	3	L
12/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
31/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	5-0	8	6	W

Redditch

LLWLWDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-3	–	–	D
27/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
13/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-2	8	6	D
10/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	1	5	D
21/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
12/09	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
31/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-1	2	11	W
29/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	9	8	L
22/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kettering vs Redditch?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kettering win (60%). Probabilities: Kettering 60%, draw 21%, Redditch 19%.

How many goals are expected in Kettering vs Redditch?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Kettering 2.31 · Redditch 1.25), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kettering vs Redditch?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.