Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Halesowen vs Anstey Nomads

Team pages: Halesowen · Anstey Nomads

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Halesowen1.78

Anstey Nomads1.64

1X2

41% 24% 35%

Halesowen Draw Anstey Nomads

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Halesowen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Anstey Nomads 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Halesowen 1519 · Anstey Nomads 1506

	Halesowen	Draw	Anstey Nomads
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Halesowen	Anstey Nomads
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	2.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	1.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/25/38%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.70

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:37 +3’	2.20	3.70	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	16	11	2	3	40	22	35
2	Bury Town	16	10	2	4	28	25	32
3	Bromsgrove	14	9	4	1	28	14	31
4	Kettering	15	8	4	3	29	17	28
5	Rushall Olympic	16	9	0	7	32	25	27
6	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
7	Peterborough Sports	15	7	5	3	31	25	26
8	Needham Market	15	7	4	4	32	23	25
9	Anstey Nomads	14	6	5	3	27	21	23
10	Halesowen	13	7	2	4	20	18	23
11	Stourbridge	14	6	4	4	19	17	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	15	5	5	5	22	19	20
13	Redditch	13	4	6	3	22	20	18
14	Stratford Town	15	3	7	5	21	27	16
15	Leiston	13	4	3	6	23	26	15
16	Banbury	15	3	5	7	18	28	14
17	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
18	Hitchin	15	3	4	8	17	23	13
19	Bishop's Stortford	15	4	1	10	18	28	13
20	Leamington	15	2	4	9	21	30	10
21	Leighton Town	14	1	3	10	15	32	6
22	Stamford	15	1	1	13	4	39	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Halesowen	Anstey Nomads
Racing Club Warwick	1-5 L	3-2 W
Alvechurch	1-1 D	2-2 D
Kettering	1-1 D	1-4 L
Rushall Olympic	1-0 W	3-2 W
Real Bedford	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Anstey Nomads (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Halesowen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	4-0	5	0	W
27/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	3-2	3	4	W
20/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	0-5	1-5	6	4	L
17/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
13/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
10/10	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
12/09	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
31/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-3	6	11	L
29/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-2	2	3	L

Anstey Nomads

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
31/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-1	–	–	W
27/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-2	5	9	D
13/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	3-2	8	3	W
10/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
29/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	1-4	1-4	1	3	L
22/09	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
12/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-2	0	7	W
31/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
28/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Halesowen vs Anstey Nomads?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Halesowen win (41%). Probabilities: Halesowen 41%, draw 24%, Anstey Nomads 35%.

How many goals are expected in Halesowen vs Anstey Nomads?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Halesowen 1.78 · Anstey Nomads 1.64), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Halesowen vs Anstey Nomads?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.