Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 07/11, 16:00
Prediction: Real Bedford vs Rushall Olympic
Team pages: Real Bedford · Rushall Olympic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.81Total
Real Bedford2.31
Rushall Olympic1.5
1X2
Real Bedford
Draw
Rushall Olympic
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Bedford
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Rushall Olympic
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Bedford 1509 · Rushall Olympic 1487
| Real Bedford | Draw | Rushall Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Bedford | Rushall Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 2.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/67/17% | 88/0/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.2 / 8 | 3.5 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 22 | 35 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 14 | 31 |
| 4 | Kettering | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 28 |
| 5 | Rushall Olympic | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 27 |
| 6 | Alvechurch | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 13 | 26 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 25 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 21 | 23 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 23 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 22 |
| 12 | Racing Club Warwick | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Redditch | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 14 | Stratford Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 27 | 16 |
| 15 | Leiston | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 15 |
| 16 | Banbury | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 14 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 13 |
| 18 | Hitchin | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 13 |
| 19 | Bishop's Stortford | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 13 |
| 20 | Leamington | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 10 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 39 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Bedford | Rushall Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Anstey Nomads | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Worcester City | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Bedford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/10 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/10 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/10 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/09 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/09 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Rushall Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/10 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 20/10 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/10 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
3-1 | 5-3 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/09 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/09 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Bedford vs Rushall Olympic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Bedford win (55%). Probabilities: Real Bedford 55%, draw 21%, Rushall Olympic 24%.
How many goals are expected in Real Bedford vs Rushall Olympic?
The model expects 3.81 goals (Real Bedford 2.31 · Rushall Olympic 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Bedford vs Rushall Olympic?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.