Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Racing Club Warwick vs Bury Town

Team pages: Racing Club Warwick · Bury Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Racing Club Warwick1.56

Bury Town1.73

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Racing Club Warwick Draw Bury Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Club Warwick 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWDWWLW

Bury Town 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWDLDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing Club Warwick 1503 · Bury Town 1484

	Racing Club Warwick	Draw	Bury Town
Our model	34%	25%	41%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Club Warwick	Bury Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/29/43%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:37 +2’	2.63	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	16	11	2	3	40	22	35
2	Bury Town	16	10	2	4	28	25	32
3	Bromsgrove	14	9	4	1	28	14	31
4	Kettering	15	8	4	3	29	17	28
5	Rushall Olympic	16	9	0	7	32	25	27
6	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
7	Peterborough Sports	15	7	5	3	31	25	26
8	Needham Market	15	7	4	4	32	23	25
9	Anstey Nomads	14	6	5	3	27	21	23
10	Halesowen	13	7	2	4	20	18	23
11	Stourbridge	14	6	4	4	19	17	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	15	5	5	5	22	19	20
13	Redditch	13	4	6	3	22	20	18
14	Stratford Town	15	3	7	5	21	27	16
15	Leiston	13	4	3	6	23	26	15
16	Banbury	15	3	5	7	18	28	14
17	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
18	Hitchin	15	3	4	8	17	23	13
19	Bishop's Stortford	15	4	1	10	18	28	13
20	Leamington	15	2	4	9	21	30	10
21	Leighton Town	14	1	3	10	15	32	6
22	Stamford	15	1	1	13	4	39	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Club Warwick	Bury Town
Bishop's Stortford	4-2 W	2-1 W
Stourbridge	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Club Warwick

DLLDWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
20/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	5-0	5-1	4	4	W
17/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
10/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
03/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
29/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
21/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
12/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-3	2	7	L
31/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D

Bury Town

LWWWLWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	2-2	2-3	7	6	L
31/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-5	–	–	L
20/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
17/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
13/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	0-5	3	2	L
10/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
22/09	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-1	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Club Warwick vs Bury Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bury Town win (41%). Probabilities: Racing Club Warwick 34%, draw 25%, Bury Town 41%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Club Warwick vs Bury Town?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Racing Club Warwick 1.56 · Bury Town 1.73), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Club Warwick vs Bury Town?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.