Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Peterborough Sports vs Stamford

Team pages: Peterborough Sports · Stamford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

Peterborough Sports2.78

Stamford1.11

1X2

72% 16% 12%

Peterborough Sports Draw Stamford

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Peterborough Sports 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Stamford 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Peterborough Sports 0–1 Stamford (1 last)

Stamford3-0Peterborough Sports

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterborough Sports 1536 · Stamford 1396

	Peterborough Sports	Draw	Stamford
Our model	72%	17%	12%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peterborough Sports (rating 1536 vs 1396).
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Peterborough Sports	Stamford
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.9	0.3 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/17/17%	0/25/75%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.2	0.3 / 0.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.5	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.50

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.85

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:28 +12’	1.25	5.50	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough Sports 0–0–1 Stamford

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/07/23 UK Friendlies	Stamford	3-0 HT 2-0	Peterborough Sports

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	16	11	2	3	40	22	35
2	Bury Town	16	10	2	4	28	25	32
3	Bromsgrove	14	9	4	1	28	14	31
4	Kettering	15	8	4	3	29	17	28
5	Rushall Olympic	16	9	0	7	32	25	27
6	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
7	Peterborough Sports	15	7	5	3	31	25	26
8	Needham Market	15	7	4	4	32	23	25
9	Anstey Nomads	14	6	5	3	27	21	23
10	Halesowen	13	7	2	4	20	18	23
11	Stourbridge	14	6	4	4	19	17	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	15	5	5	5	22	19	20
13	Redditch	13	4	6	3	22	20	18
14	Stratford Town	15	3	7	5	21	27	16
15	Leiston	13	4	3	6	23	26	15
16	Banbury	15	3	5	7	18	28	14
17	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
18	Hitchin	15	3	4	8	17	23	13
19	Bishop's Stortford	15	4	1	10	18	28	13
20	Leamington	15	2	4	9	21	30	10
21	Leighton Town	14	1	3	10	15	32	6
22	Stamford	15	1	1	13	4	39	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Peterborough Sports	Stamford
Stratford Town	1-1 D	0-0 D
Banbury	4-2 W	2-3 L
Hitchin	1-0 W	0-3 L
Needham Market	3-3 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Peterborough Sports (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peterborough Sports

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
27/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-5	–	–	L
17/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	4-2	2	6	W
10/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
03/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	4-2	5	4	W
29/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
22/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
12/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
31/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-3	3	2	D

Stamford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-4	0	0	L
27/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-4	–	–	L
13/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
10/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-4	0-4	1	2	L
19/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-5	0	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterborough Sports vs Stamford?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterborough Sports win (72%). Probabilities: Peterborough Sports 72%, draw 16%, Stamford 12%.

How many goals are expected in Peterborough Sports vs Stamford?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Peterborough Sports 2.78 · Stamford 1.11), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterborough Sports vs Stamford?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.