Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Stamford vs Halesowen

Team pages: Stamford · Halesowen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Stamford1.05

Halesowen1.83

1X2

21% 24% 55%

Stamford Draw Halesowen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Stamford 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLDLL

Halesowen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDDWLW

Head-to-head

Stamford 1–2–3 Halesowen (6 last)

Halesowen3-1Stamford
Stamford1-1Halesowen
Stamford2-2Halesowen
Halesowen2-0Stamford
Stamford3-0Halesowen
Halesowen2-0Stamford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stamford 1377 · Halesowen 1533

	Stamford	Draw	Halesowen
Our model	20%	25%	55%
Market	21%	23%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Halesowen (rating 1377 vs 1533).
H2H favours Halesowen: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stamford	Halesowen
Goals for / against (FT)	0.2 / 3	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1.3	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	29/29/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 1.3	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.90

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	1.67 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:22 +11’	4.00	3.80	1.67
19:22 +1’	4.20▲	3.90▲	1.61▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stamford 1–2–3 Halesowen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	3-1 HT 0-1	Stamford
23/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	1-1	Halesowen
26/04/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	2-2	Halesowen
14/01/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	2-0 HT 1-0	Stamford
09/12/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	3-0 HT 0-0	Halesowen
09/09/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	2-0	Stamford

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	14	10	2	2	37	17	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	13	8	4	1	23	13	28
4	Rushall Olympic	15	9	0	6	32	24	27
5	Kettering	13	7	4	2	25	11	25
6	Needham Market	14	7	3	4	29	20	24
7	Alvechurch	13	6	5	2	24	12	23
8	Peterborough Sports	14	6	5	3	27	23	23
9	Anstey Nomads	12	5	5	2	22	18	20
10	Halesowen	12	6	2	4	16	18	20
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15	16	19
12	Racing Club Warwick	14	4	5	5	21	19	17
13	Redditch	12	4	5	3	19	17	17
14	Leiston	12	4	3	5	22	23	15
15	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
16	Bishop's Stortford	14	4	1	9	17	24	13
17	Stratford Town	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
18	Banbury	14	3	4	7	16	26	13
19	Worcester City	12	2	4	6	11	16	10
20	Leamington	14	2	4	8	19	26	10
21	Leighton Town	13	1	3	9	14	27	6
22	Stamford	14	1	1	12	4	35	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stamford	Halesowen
Hitchin	0-3 L	2-1 W
Real Bedford	0-4 L	0-2 L
Needham Market	0-4 L	1-0 W
Alvechurch	0-4 L	1-1 D
Kettering	0-5 L	1-1 D
Rushall Olympic	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Halesowen (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stamford

LLLLLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-4	–	–	L
13/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
10/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-4	0-4	1	2	L
19/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-5	0	6	L
29/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-3	2	3	L
22/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L

Halesowen

WLLWWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	3-2	3	4	W
20/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	0-5	1-5	6	4	L
17/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
13/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
10/10	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
12/09	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
31/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-3	6	11	L
29/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
22/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stamford vs Halesowen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Halesowen win (55%). Probabilities: Stamford 21%, draw 24%, Halesowen 55%.

How many goals are expected in Stamford vs Halesowen?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Stamford 1.05 · Halesowen 1.83), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stamford vs Halesowen?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.