Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Banbury vs Worcester City

Team pages: Banbury · Worcester City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Banbury1.38

Worcester City1.01

1X2

45% 27% 27%

Banbury Draw Worcester City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Banbury 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLDLWLDW

Worcester City 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLDDLL

Head-to-head

Banbury 1–2–0 Worcester City (3 last)

Worcester City0-0Banbury
Worcester City0-1Banbury
Banbury1-1Worcester City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Banbury 1473 · Worcester City 1466

	Banbury	Draw	Worcester City
Our model	44%	30%	26%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Banbury	Worcester City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	0.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/67/17%	29/14/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	2.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.5	2.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +5’	1.95	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Banbury 1–2–0 Worcester City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Worcester City	0-0 HT 0-0	Banbury
10/01/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Worcester City	0-1 HT 0-0	Banbury
12/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	1-1 HT 1-0	Worcester City

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	13	10	2	1	37	16	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	9	0	5	30	21	27
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28	19	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25	18	23
7	Kettering	12	6	4	2	22	9	22
8	Alvechurch	12	6	4	2	22	10	22
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	4	5	4	20	17	17
11	Halesowen	11	5	2	4	13	16	17
12	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14	16	16
13	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
14	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	4	1	8	17	23	13
16	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16	23	13
17	Leiston	11	3	3	5	17	21	12
18	Stratford Town	13	2	6	5	16	24	12
19	Leamington	13	2	4	7	17	23	10
20	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
21	Leighton Town	12	1	2	9	13	26	5
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3	35	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Banbury	Worcester City
Leighton Town	1-0 W	1-2 L
Bromsgrove	1-1 D	0-1 L
Stamford	3-2 W	1-0 W
Stourbridge	1-1 D	1-3 L
Rushall Olympic	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Banbury (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banbury

LDLLDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
17/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-4	6	6	L
10/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-3	0	2	L
22/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
31/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
29/08	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-3	–	–	L

Worcester City

LLWDLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
10/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
29/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
22/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
12/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
31/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-2	4	0	L
11/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banbury vs Worcester City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Banbury win (45%). Probabilities: Banbury 45%, draw 27%, Worcester City 27%.

How many goals are expected in Banbury vs Worcester City?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Banbury 1.38 · Worcester City 1.01), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Banbury vs Worcester City?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.