Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Bishop's Stortford vs Stamford

Team pages: Bishop's Stortford · Stamford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Bishop's Stortford1.84

Stamford1.2

1X2

52% 24% 24%

Bishop's Stortford Draw Stamford

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bishop's Stortford 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Stamford 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bishop's Stortford 2–1–2 Stamford (5 last)

Stamford0-3Bishop's Stortford
Stamford1-0Bishop's Stortford
Bishop's Stortford1-0Stamford
Stamford1-0Bishop's Stortford
Bishop's Stortford2-2Stamford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bishop's Stortford 1441 · Stamford 1382

	Bishop's Stortford	Draw	Stamford
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	52%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bishop's Stortford (rating 1441 vs 1382).
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bishop's Stortford	Stamford
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	0.2 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	0 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	0.8 / 1.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.75

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +5’	1.73	3.75	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bishop's Stortford 2–1–2 Stamford

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	0-3	Bishop's Stortford
28/03/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	1-0	Bishop's Stortford
16/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bishop's Stortford	1-0	Stamford
05/04/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	1-0	Bishop's Stortford
24/08/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Bishop's Stortford	2-2	Stamford

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	13	10	2	1	37	16	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	9	0	5	30	21	27
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28	19	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25	18	23
7	Kettering	12	6	4	2	22	9	22
8	Alvechurch	12	6	4	2	22	10	22
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	4	5	4	20	17	17
11	Halesowen	11	5	2	4	13	16	17
12	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14	16	16
13	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
14	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	4	1	8	17	23	13
16	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16	23	13
17	Leiston	11	3	3	5	17	21	12
18	Stratford Town	13	2	6	5	16	24	12
19	Leamington	13	2	4	7	17	23	10
20	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
21	Leighton Town	12	1	2	9	13	26	5
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3	35	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bishop's Stortford	Stamford
Real Bedford	3-1 W	0-4 L
Needham Market	1-2 L	0-4 L
Hitchin	2-0 W	0-3 L
Alvechurch	0-3 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Bishop's Stortford (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bishop's Stortford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-2	6	0	L
17/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
10/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
19/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
22/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L

Stamford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-4	–	–	L
13/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
10/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-4	0-4	1	2	L
19/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-5	0	6	L
29/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-3	2	3	L
22/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bishop's Stortford vs Stamford?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bishop's Stortford win (52%). Probabilities: Bishop's Stortford 52%, draw 24%, Stamford 24%.

How many goals are expected in Bishop's Stortford vs Stamford?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Bishop's Stortford 1.84 · Stamford 1.2), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bishop's Stortford vs Stamford?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.