Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Bromsgrove vs Stratford Town

Team pages: Bromsgrove · Stratford Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Bromsgrove1.76

Stratford Town1.04

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Bromsgrove Draw Stratford Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bromsgrove 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Stratford Town 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bromsgrove 4–2 Stratford Town (6 last)

Stratford Town2-3Bromsgrove
Stratford Town1-2Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove1-2Stratford Town
Stratford Town2-3Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove1-3Stratford Town
Stratford Town1-2Bromsgrove

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bromsgrove 1580 · Stratford Town 1473

	Bromsgrove	Draw	Stratford Town
Our model	53%	26%	21%
Market	54%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bromsgrove (rating 1580 vs 1473).
H2H favours Bromsgrove: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bromsgrove	Stratford Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.9	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/75/13%	0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.4	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.65▲	Bet365 1.65
X	4.10 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	4.75 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:31 +8’	1.50	4.10	4.75
16:04 +27’	1.65▲	3.90▼	4.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bromsgrove 4–0–2 Stratford Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	2-3 HT 0-0	Bromsgrove
18/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	1-2	Bromsgrove
06/12/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-2	Stratford Town
21/12/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	2-3	Bromsgrove
13/08/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-3	Stratford Town
20/04/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	1-2	Bromsgrove

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	13	10	2	1	37	16	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	9	0	5	30	21	27
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28	19	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25	18	23
7	Kettering	12	6	4	2	22	9	22
8	Alvechurch	12	6	4	2	22	10	22
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	4	5	4	20	17	17
11	Halesowen	11	5	2	4	13	16	17
12	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14	16	16
13	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
14	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	4	1	8	17	23	13
16	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16	23	13
17	Leiston	11	3	3	5	17	21	12
18	Stratford Town	13	2	6	5	16	24	12
19	Leamington	13	2	4	7	17	23	10
20	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
21	Leighton Town	12	1	2	9	13	26	5
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3	35	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bromsgrove	Stratford Town
Banbury	1-1 D	3-2 W
Kettering	2-1 W	0-1 L
Real Bedford	1-1 D	1-6 L
Leamington	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bromsgrove

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
13/10	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-1	11	4	W
10/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-2	3	3	W
12/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
31/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
29/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-0	6	2	W
22/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
15/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L

Stratford Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	2-2	4-4	4	3	D
17/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
22/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	2-3	4	3	L
12/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-6	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bromsgrove vs Stratford Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bromsgrove win (54%). Probabilities: Bromsgrove 54%, draw 24%, Stratford Town 22%.

How many goals are expected in Bromsgrove vs Stratford Town?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Bromsgrove 1.76 · Stratford Town 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bromsgrove vs Stratford Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.