Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Halesowen vs Leamington

Team pages: Halesowen · Leamington

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Halesowen1.69

Leamington1.23

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Halesowen Draw Leamington

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Halesowen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWDDWL

Leamington 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLDWLDLL

Head-to-head

Halesowen 1–1–2 Leamington (4 last)

Leamington0-1Halesowen
Leamington1-0Halesowen
Halesowen0-0Leamington
Halesowen0-1Leamington

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Halesowen 1535 · Leamington 1437

	Halesowen	Draw	Leamington
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Halesowen (rating 1535 vs 1437).
H2H favours Leamington: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Halesowen	Leamington
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	33/17/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	2.2 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.75

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +5’	1.85	3.75	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Halesowen 1–1–2 Leamington

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/24 Club Friendly List	Leamington	0-1 HT 0-1	Halesowen
30/03/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Leamington	1-0 HT 0-0	Halesowen
15/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	0-0 HT 0-0	Leamington
23/07/22 Club Friendly List	Halesowen	0-1 HT 0-0	Leamington

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	13	10	2	1	37	16	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	9	0	5	30	21	27
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28	19	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25	18	23
7	Kettering	12	6	4	2	22	9	22
8	Alvechurch	12	6	4	2	22	10	22
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	4	5	4	20	17	17
11	Halesowen	11	5	2	4	13	16	17
12	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14	16	16
13	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
14	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	4	1	8	17	23	13
16	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16	23	13
17	Leiston	11	3	3	5	17	21	12
18	Stratford Town	13	2	6	5	16	24	12
19	Leamington	13	2	4	7	17	23	10
20	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
21	Leighton Town	12	1	2	9	13	26	5
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3	35	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Halesowen	Leamington
Hitchin	2-1 W	4-0 W
Rushall Olympic	1-0 W	1-3 L
Redditch	1-3 L	2-2 D
Needham Market	1-0 W	1-2 L
Bishop's Stortford	1-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Halesowen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Halesowen

WWLLWWDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	0-5	1-5	6	4	L
17/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
13/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
10/10	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
12/09	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
31/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-3	6	11	L
29/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
22/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W

Leamington

LDWLDWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-3	11	6	L
17/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
13/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	2-2	10	6	D
10/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	4-0	3	0	W
29/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
12/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
01/09	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
29/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Halesowen vs Leamington?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Halesowen win (48%). Probabilities: Halesowen 48%, draw 25%, Leamington 27%.

How many goals are expected in Halesowen vs Leamington?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Halesowen 1.69 · Leamington 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Halesowen vs Leamington?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.