Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Kettering vs Rushall Olympic

Team pages: Kettering · Rushall Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Kettering2.01

Rushall Olympic1.39

1X2

51% 23% 26%

Kettering Draw Rushall Olympic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kettering 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLWDLW

Rushall Olympic 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Kettering 3–1 Rushall Olympic (4 last)

Rushall Olympic3-2Kettering
Kettering2-1Rushall Olympic
Rushall Olympic0-1Kettering
Rushall Olympic1-2Kettering

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kettering 1560 · Rushall Olympic 1538

	Kettering	Draw	Rushall Olympic
Our model	51%	23%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kettering: 3-0-1.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kettering	Rushall Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.8	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.6	1.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/0/20%	75/13/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.2	3.5 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.73▼	Bet365 1.73
X	3.80 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:31 +8’	1.91	3.80	2.90
14:19 +5’	1.73▼	4.00▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kettering 3–0–1 Rushall Olympic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Rushall Olympic	3-2 HT 2-1	Kettering
23/02/19 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	2-1	Rushall Olympic
24/11/18 England Southern Premier League Central	Rushall Olympic	0-1	Kettering
17/09/16 England FA Cup Qualification	Rushall Olympic	1-2	Kettering

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	13	10	2	1	37	16	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	9	0	5	30	21	27
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28	19	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25	18	23
7	Kettering	12	6	4	2	22	9	22
8	Alvechurch	12	6	4	2	22	10	22
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	4	5	4	20	17	17
11	Halesowen	11	5	2	4	13	16	17
12	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14	16	16
13	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
14	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	4	1	8	17	23	13
16	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16	23	13
17	Leiston	11	3	3	5	17	21	12
18	Stratford Town	13	2	6	5	16	24	12
19	Leamington	13	2	4	7	17	23	10
20	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
21	Leighton Town	12	1	2	9	13	26	5
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3	35	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kettering	Rushall Olympic
Halesowen	1-1 D	0-1 L
Anstey Nomads	4-1 W	2-3 L
Stamford	5-0 W	3-0 W
Peterborough Sports	0-0 D	2-4 L
Leamington	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kettering (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kettering

WDDWWLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
13/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
10/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
22/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-3	11	3	L
12/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
31/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	5-0	8	6	W
29/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W

Rushall Olympic

WLLWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-1	9	6	W
17/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	3-0	3-0	7	3	W
13/10	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-3	4	3	L
10/10	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	3-1	5-3	6	5	W
29/09	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-2	9	3	W
12/09	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
31/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-0	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kettering vs Rushall Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kettering win (51%). Probabilities: Kettering 51%, draw 23%, Rushall Olympic 26%.

How many goals are expected in Kettering vs Rushall Olympic?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Kettering 2.01 · Rushall Olympic 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kettering vs Rushall Olympic?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.