Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Racing Club Warwick vs Redditch

Team pages: Racing Club Warwick · Redditch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Racing Club Warwick1.61

Redditch1.44

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Racing Club Warwick Draw Redditch

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Club Warwick 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Redditch 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Racing Club Warwick 0–1 Redditch (1 last)

Redditch2-1Racing Club Warwick

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing Club Warwick 1511 · Redditch 1524

	Racing Club Warwick	Draw	Redditch
Our model	41%	26%	33%
Market	42%	24%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Club Warwick	Redditch
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/17/50%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.70

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:34 +4’	2.15	3.70	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club Warwick 0–0–1 Redditch

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	2-1 HT 1-0	Racing Club Warwick

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	13	10	2	1	37	16	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	9	0	5	30	21	27
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28	19	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25	18	23
7	Kettering	12	6	4	2	22	9	22
8	Alvechurch	12	6	4	2	22	10	22
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	4	5	4	20	17	17
11	Halesowen	11	5	2	4	13	16	17
12	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14	16	16
13	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
14	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	4	1	8	17	23	13
16	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16	23	13
17	Leiston	11	3	3	5	17	21	12
18	Stratford Town	13	2	6	5	16	24	12
19	Leamington	13	2	4	7	17	23	10
20	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
21	Leighton Town	12	1	2	9	13	26	5
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3	35	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Club Warwick	Redditch
Halesowen	5-1 W	3-1 W
Bishop's Stortford	4-2 W	3-1 W
Leiston	0-0 D	1-3 L
Stratford Town	0-0 D	0-0 D
Hitchin	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Club Warwick (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Club Warwick

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	5-0	5-1	4	4	W
17/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
10/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
03/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
29/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
21/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
12/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-3	2	7	L
31/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D

Redditch

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-2	8	6	D
10/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	1	5	D
21/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
12/09	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
31/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-1	2	11	W
29/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	9	8	L
22/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
15/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
11/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Club Warwick vs Redditch?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club Warwick win (41%). Probabilities: Racing Club Warwick 41%, draw 25%, Redditch 34%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Club Warwick vs Redditch?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Racing Club Warwick 1.61 · Redditch 1.44), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Club Warwick vs Redditch?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.